A cross-disciplinary analysis of the transitions of global pesticides trade and POPs emission modulated by international conventions and climate variability

进行了一系列综合分析，以量化全球农药（杀虫剂和杀真菌剂）贸易对厄尔尼诺-南方涛动和北极涛动等气候模式的反应。研究表明，在澳大利亚，厄尔尼诺现象似乎导致降水减少，从而抑制了疟疾的发生，进而减少了当地对杀虫剂的需求。建立一个综合环境风险分析框架，综合本研究的结果以及持久性有机污染物的动态和食物网模型，将有助于更好地理解气候模式与国际法规（如关于持久性有机污染物的斯德哥尔摩公约）对农药贸易可变性的相对重要性。

A series of composite analyses were performed in order to quantify the response of global pesticides(insecticides and fungicides) trade to climate modes such as the El Nino-Southern Oscillation and the Arctic Oscillation. It was demonstrated that in Australia, the El Nino appears to cause reduced precipitation, then suppressed occurrence of malaria, and in turn decreased local demand for insecticides. Development of an integrated environmental risk analysis framework to synthesize the outcome of this study and dynamic and food-web models of Persistent Organic Pollutants(POPs) will help better understand the relative importance of climate modes versus international regulations such as Stockholm Convention on POPs to variability in the pesticide trades.