Is adaptation to climate change really constrained in niche specialists?

准确预测物种对气候变化的脆弱性，对于出于保护、农业和与人类健康有关的目的管理生物多样性至关重要。越来越多的证据表明，对气候变化的适应性反应可能会受到高度限制，特别是在生物多样性的热带地区。然而，这是基于没有反映预测的气候变化的研究。该项目旨在利用反映预计变化的生态现实条件，对广布和热带物种适应气候变化的能力进行首次评估。这些数据将被用来开发预测物种脆弱性的准确模型，并用于更好地指导保护战略。

Accurately predicting the vulnerability of species to climate change is of paramount importance for managing biodiversity for conservation, agricultural and human health-related purposes. Mounting evidence indicates that adaptive responses to climate changes may be highly constrained, particularly in the biodiverse tropics. However, this is based on studies that do not reflect projected climatic variations. This project aims to provide the first assessment of the capacity to adapt to climate change in widespread and tropical species using ecologically realistic conditions that reflect projected changes. The data will be used to develop accurate models predicting species vulnerability and serve to better guide conservation strategies.