DYNAMIG. How migration decisions are made: diverse aspirations, trajectories and policy effects

欧盟及其成员国采取了一系列广泛的政策来解决移民问题，包括发展合作、边境管理和法律的劳动力市场准入。政策若要有效，就必须基于对个人如何决定是否移徙的准确理解。在潜在和实际移徙者的决策行为如何与微观、中观和宏观因素（例如不同的社会经济地位）下的政策相互作用方面，科学和政策制定者的知识存在重大空白，移徙问题研究小组将填补这一空白。我们把非洲作为欧洲移民未来最重要的原籍地区。我们沿着沿着四个维度追求多学科方法：首先，我们沿着沿着扩展的轨迹扩展现有的移民决策动态概念化，并通过创新方法测试这些，包括从从尼日利亚，肯尼亚，塞内加尔和摩洛哥到欧洲的移民途中收集的数字日记。第二，我们开发了一个基于移动设备的在线选择实验工具，因果关系研究的愿望形成在不同的背景和阶段的移民与成千上万的人在原籍国和过境国。第三，我们研究政策如何影响移民决策的方法，允许因果解释：选择实验与受访者在不同的情况下，在塞内加尔的创业培训干预的随机对照试验;和准实验分析的EUTF非洲。第四，通过对高层政策制定者的访谈和对政策文件的文本分析，我们分析了欧盟、成员国和非洲相关移民政策的设计如何考虑移民决策。为了最大限度地发挥我们对政策制定的影响，我们将我们的研究嵌入到与欧洲和非洲的利益相关者（包括政策制定社区，移民和侨民组织以及民间社会）共同创造知识的故意过程中

The EU and its Member States pursue a wide range of policies that address migration, including development cooperation, border management, and legal labour market access. To be effective, policies must be based on an accurate understanding of how individuals decide whether to migrate. DYNAMIG will fill critical gaps in scientific and policymakers’ knowledge about how the decision-making behaviour of potential and actual migrants interacts with policies given micro, meso, and macro factors, e.g. different socioeconomic status. We focus on Africa as the most important future region of origin for migrants to Europe. We pursue a multi-disciplinary approach along four dimensions: First, we extend existing conceptualisations of the dynamics of migration decisions along extended trajectories and test these through innovative methods, including digital diaries collected from migrants en route from Nigeria, Kenya, Senegal, and Morocco to Europe. Second, we develop a mobile-device-based tool for online choice experiments to causally study aspiration formation across different contexts and stages of migration with several tens of thousands of individuals in origin and transit countries. Third, we study how policies affect migration decision-making with methods that allow causal interpretation: choice experiments with respondents in different contexts; a randomised controlled trial of an entrepreneurship training intervention in Senegal; and a quasi-experimental analysis of the EUTF for Africa. Fourth, through interviews with high-level policymakers and textual analysis of policy documents, we analyse how the design of EU, Member State, and relevant African policies that address migration takes into account migrant decision making. To maximise our impact on policymaking, we embed our research in an intentional process of joint knowledge creation with stakeholders in Europe and Africa, including the policymaking community, migrant and diaspora organisations, and civil society