Risk Quantification Unlocking BVLOS Operations

所有无人机运营商，从目前的操作授权到复杂的BVLOS非隔离操作，都必须编写安全案例。目前由行业或监管机构使用或建议的大多数工具，单独而言，不会对实现480亿GB的行业产生任何影响，因为最终必须由运营商向监管机构提出安全理由。然而，为未来的BVLOS无人机操作制定安全论点的知识是整个行业缺乏的一项关键技能，在这一领域，最大的成功围绕着能够建立临时危险区域(TDA)，但除此之外还没有取得任何永久的可扩展的解决方案。载人航空是根据现有的政策和程序进行评判的，因此行业内目前对开拓新天地并向监管机构提出有力论点的了解非常有限，而不是等待被告知要做什么。简而言之，人们对英国航空业知道如何解决这个问题缺乏信心，这一点从飞行的未来和想法的多样性中可见一斑。因此，为BVLOS开发安全案例的技能集并不是航空领域任何部分天生拥有的，也不需要培训。英国无人机行业协会Arpas-UK将通过航空公司的吉祥提供BVLOS安全案例培训课程，该课程不仅提供实现这一目标所需的工具，而且发展出一种需要在任何当前和未来组织中体现的心态，因为运营的责任不仅掌握在作者手中，而且掌握在公司的所有员工手中，并将英国无人机行业拉回到队伍的前列，带来就业、投资和打开天空。能够支持这些复杂论点的人很少，正在酝酿之中的人很少，因此在英国目前的情况下，他们的能力为零。Arpas和AeroAgency认识到这一点需要填补，否则目前实体询问监管机构的解决方案是什么的过程将继续下去，因为他们自己缺乏提出正确的方法来提出正确的论点。

All drone operators, from current Operational Authorisations all the way to complex BVLOS unsegregated operations have to write a safety case. The majority of tools currently being used or suggested by industry or a regulator, will, in isolation, not have any effect on delivering a £48bn industry as ultimately it is the operator who has to make a safety case to the regulator. Yet the knowledge to develop the safety arguments for BVLOS drone operations in the future is a key skill lacking across the industry, where the biggest success revolves around being able to put together a Temporary Danger Area (TDA) but hasn't progressed beyond that to any permanent scalable solutions. Manned aviation is judged against extant policies and procedures so the current knowledge within industry to break new ground and deliver a robust argument to the regulator rather than wait to be told what to do is very limited. In short there is a lack of confidence the UK industry knows how to solve the problem, evident by the Future of Flight and multiplicity of ideas. The skill set therefore, to develop a safety case for BVLOS is not something that is natively possessed by any part of the aviation spectrum and needs to be trained. ARPAS-UK, the drone trade association will provide, through the auspice of Aerofirm - a BVLOS safety case training course that not only provides the tools needs to achieve exactly this, but develops a mindset which needs to be embodied in any current and future organisation, as the responsibility of the operation is not just in the hands of the author but of all the staff in a company and pull the UK drone industry back to the front of the queue, bringing jobs, investment and unlocking the skies. There is a gap of personnel who can support these complex arguments, very few in the pipeline, and thus zero capability in the UK as it stands. ARPAS and Aerofirm recognise this needs to be filled, otherwise the current process of entities asking the regulator what the solution is, because of their own lack of how to put forward the correct approach to making the correct argument will continue.