Improving the seasonal prediction of Australian rainfall extremes

该项目旨在利用气象局最新的季节性预测系统和新的再分析和气候模型，调查澳大利亚极端降雨的可预测性。澳大利亚的极端降雨事件通常与生命损失、基础设施和环境破坏有关，但通过改进预报可以减轻一些影响。该项目将分析气候变化和气候多变性对极端降雨季节性可预测性的影响。这将增加我们对极端降雨事件背后的过程以及可预测性产生的原因的理解，这将导致预测的改进。

This project aims to investigate the predictability of Australian extreme rainfall using the latest Bureau of Meteorology seasonal prediction system and new re-analyses and climate models. Extreme rainfall events in Australia are often associated with loss of life and damage to infrastructure and the environment, but some impacts can be mitigated with improved forecasting. This project will analyse influences of climate change and climate variability on seasonal-scale predictability of extreme rainfall. This will increase our understanding of the processes behind extreme rainfall events and where predictability arises from, and this would result in improvements in forecasting.