PREDICTION OF STABILITY OF HIGH RISK DRINKING

在大学期间和二十出头的酗酒现象仍然存在 一个重要的风险因素，调整问题，事故，和以后 成瘾 然而，年轻人也表现出很高的缓解率。 纵向研究中的酒精问题 纵向研究 青少年人群表明，成人角色需求与 酗酒问题得到缓解 最近对儿童的研究 酗酒者认为，较少的主观陶醉和较大的压力， 当饮酒时，反应减弱可能与以下风险有关： 成瘾 目前的建议将联合收割机结合实验室和调查方法， 对高危饮酒者的研究，以预测慢性重型 喝酒 选定的生物、心理和社会网络 将对变量进行评估，以预测 大学毕业后的饮酒和自然节制过程。 更好地了解自然变化和适度饮酒的做法， 并有助于早期检测或预测慢性 酗酒。 重度饮酒（每周少于15杯）大学毕业生（n = 300） 将被招募进行为期三年的预测纵向研究 未来的饮酒习惯 受试者最初将在 大学毕业前的一个学期。 评估将 包括饮酒模式和历史的措施， 酗酒，冲动，生活环境类型，社交网络 消费，感知酒精的影响和感知规范。 实验室 酒精挑战将评估主观醉酒和应激反应 润湿。 未来三年的年度评估将允许 饮酒习惯改变的多变量前瞻性预测。 据推测，较少的主观陶醉和较大的压力， 反应抑制将与大量饮酒的连续性相关联。 饮酒方式的改变也应该伴随着生活方式的改变 社会交往中饮酒的变化和减少，以及 关于酒精影响和规范饮酒的信念的变化。 前瞻性分析将检查饮酒的变化是否是由于或 在社会和职业功能和酒精的变化之前 信仰

Heavy drinking during the college years and in the early twenties remains a significant risk factor for adjustment problems, accidents, and later addiction. Young people, however, also show high rates of remission of alcohol problems in longitudinal research. Longitudinal studies of adolescent populations suggest that adult role demands are associated with remission of drinking problems. Recent studies of children of alcoholics suggest that less subjective intoxication and greater stress response dampening when alcohol is consumed may be related to risk of addiction. The current proposal will combine laboratory and survey methods in a study of high risk drinkers in order to predict chronicity of heavy drinking. Selected biological, psychological, and social network variables will be assessed in order to predict continuity of heavy drinking and natural moderation process after graduation from college. Better understanding of natural change and moderate drinking practices, and facilitate the early detection or prediction of the chronicity of heavy drinking. Heavy drinking (less than 15 drinks per week) college seniors (n = 300) will be recruited for a three-year longitudinal study of the prediction of future drinking habits. Subjects will be assessed initially during the academic quarter prior to graduation from college. Assessment will include measures of drinking patterns and history, family history of alcoholism, impulsivity, type of living setting, social network alcohol consumption, perceived alcohol effects and perceived norms. A laboratory alcohol challenge will assess subjective intoxication and stress response dampening. Annual assessments over the next three years will allow for the multivariate prospective prediction of changes in drinking habits. It is hypothesized that less subjective intoxication and greater stress response dampening will be associated with continuity of heavy drinking. Changes in drinking patterns should also be accompanied by lifestyle changes and reductions in drinking among social contacts, as well as changes in beliefs about alcohol effects and normative drinking. Prospective analyses will examine if changes in drinking result from or predate changes in social and occupational functioning and alcohol beliefs.