Australian housing market risks: Simulation, modelling and analysis

这个项目旨在确定澳大利亚房地产市场是否有崩溃的风险。本项目旨在利用个体家庭和金融决策者层面的基于主体的模拟，对该市场的系统性风险进行建模。这将通过将模拟软件与来自澳大利亚统计局、人口普查数据和抵押贷款市场的数据集结合起来，形成一个金融决策的行为模型来实现。预计这将提供一种前所未有的能力，可以在澳大利亚不同的郊区、城市和地区进行经济放大和缩小，以预测、衡量和减轻系统性风险。

This project aims to determine whether the Australian housing market is at risk of a collapse. This project aims to model the systemic risks in this market using an agent-based simulation at the individual household and financial decision-maker levels. This will be achieved by combining simulation software with datasets from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, Census data and mortgage markets into a behavioural model of financial decisions. This is expected to provide an unprecedented ability to economically zoom in and out on different suburbs, cities and regions across Australia to predict, measure and mitigate systemic risks.