ENSIGN: ENergy System dIGital twiN

“繁荣伙伴关系”（PP）是对日益增长的地方、国家和国际共识的直接回应，即应将气候变化视为紧急情况，而能源系统必须转型，这是其中的一个关键部分。如果要实现能源系统的转型，就需要进行根本性的变革。只有所有相关方——各级政府、监管机构、创新者、行业、投资者、消费者和公民——都参与进来，得到授权，并有能力及时做出明智的决定，英国才能取得成功。这些决策涉及整个能源系统：横跨能源价值链——从生产到交付再到使用；跨越媒介和部门——供热、运输、电力、工业；跨越技术、商业模式、市场、政策和监管。迫切需要的决策必须考虑到整个能源系统这些方面之间复杂的相互作用、相互依赖和权衡。做出这些决策的环境的复杂性和不确定性要求采用新的方法。数字双胞胎在其中扮演了重要角色。这种PP将“全系统思考”转变为“全系统行动”；它将把数字孪生从可能性变为现实，网络运营商将使用它们来实现转型，并在利益相关者社区实现良好的气候、经济和社会成果。这项工作的新颖性可以用几种方式来表达：创建一个跨越和集成多个向量的数字双胞胎——电、热、氢和工业——以获得系统级的洞察力，回答问题并支持决策制定；创建一个架构，以一致和连贯的方式促进多个能量向量的集成，从而获得整个系统视图，而不是单独的“筒仓”视图。以创新的方式利用复杂的建模、人工智能和机器学习开发新技术；这将产生知识产权，使数字孪生的使用更接近于“一切照旧”。应用开放原则，以便更容易地增强、扩展和与其他数字孪生体整合，从而加强转型的能力，并以更快的速度和更低的风险进行转型。一种迭代开发方法，使适应能够响应在PP过程中获得的学习，以及从数字孪生的艺术和科学进步以及该部门发生的转型过程中获得的学习。具体的目标和承诺摆在我们面前，而我们几乎没有时间去实现它们。在保证供应安全的前提下，我们承诺在2035年实现净零电力系统。我们已经宣布了一项英国能源安全战略，该战略依赖于多向量方法。我们怎么知道2035年的净零电力系统是可能的，它会起作用？我们怎么能对供应安全有合理的保证感到放心呢？我们如何知道需要在各种载体之间进行哪些权衡，才能获得可能的最佳结果？我们如何才能使该行业所有参与者的努力协调一致，以提供所需的服务？一个集成的数字孪生——这个PP的关键焦点——将有助于做到这一点。它将使人们对未来的系统及其运行形成一个共同的看法。它将为来自不同向量的利益相关者提供一种方法，使用共同的参考点和语言来讨论和解决问题。它将帮助创新者看到他们的好想法的背景。这将帮助投资者看到机会和价格风险。它将帮助人们做出决策，这些决策过于复杂，如果没有复杂能力的帮助，人类的大脑就无法做出决策。该PP提供了这种能力，重要的是，它是在行业背景下实现的——将研究、创新和实际应用联系起来。

This Prosperity Partnership (PP) is a direct response to the growing local, national and international consensus that climate change should be treated as an emergency and that as a key part of this, the energy system must be transformed.Fundamental change is needed if energy system transformation is to be achieved. The UK will only be successful if the many parties involved - government at all levels, regulators, innovators, industry, investors, consumers and citizens - are engaged, empowered and equipped to make properly informed decisions in a timely manner.These decisions span the whole energy system: across the energy value chain - from generation to delivery to use; across the vectors and sectors - heat, transport, power, industry; and across technology, business models, markets, policy and regulation. Critically needed decisions must account for the complex interactions, interdependencies and trade-offs between these aspects of the whole energy system.The complexity and uncertainty of the environment in which these decisions must be made require new approaches. Digital Twins are much talked about as playing a role. This PP will take "whole system thinking" to "whole system action"; it will move Digital Twins from possibility into reality where they are being used by a network operator to deliver transformation and realise good climate, economic and social outcomes across the stakeholder community.The novelty of this work can be expressed in several ways:The creation of a Digital Twin that spans and INTEGRATES multiple vectors - electricity, heat, hydrogen and industry - to enable system level insights to be gained, questions to be answered and decision making to be supportedThe creation of an architecture that facilitates the integration of multiple energy vectors in a consistent and coherent way so that a whole system view is obtained, not separate views of separate "siloes".The development of new techniques using sophisticated modelling, Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in innovative ways; this will generate Intellectual Property that progresses use of Digital Twins closer to "Business As Usual".Application of the principle of openness so that enhancement, extension and integration with other Digital Twins is made easier thereby strengthening the ability to transform, and to do so at greater pace and with lower risk.An iterative development approach which enables adaptation to respond to learnings gained in the course of the PP and from advancements in the art and science of Digital Twins and from the process of transformation happening in the sector.Specific goals and commitments are in front of us and with little time to deliver on them. We have committed to a Net Zero Power system in 2035 subject to security of supply. We have declared a British Energy Security Strategy which depends upon a multi-vector approach. How do we know a Net Zero Power System in 2035 is possible and that it will work? How can we have comfort that security of supply can be reasonably assured? How do we know what trade-offs between vectors will be needed to deliver the best possible outcomes? How can we align the efforts of all players in the sector to deliver what is needed? An integrated Digital Twin - the key focus of this PP - will help do this. It will enable people to form a shared view of the future system and its operation. It will provide a way for stakeholders from different vectors to discuss and solve problems using a common reference point and language. It will help innovators see the context for their good ideas. It will help investors see opportunities and price risk. It will support people make decisions that are too complex for the human mind to make without the assistance of sophisticated capabilities to support them. This PP delivers that capability and importantly, does so in the context of the industry - connecting research, innovation and real-world applications.