ad-ASSTRA: Towards A Sustainable Space Technology Roadmapping Architecture

该项目旨在通过重点合作研究和使用积极的合作实践，在曼彻斯特大学(UOM)和麻省理工学院(MIT)的专家之间建立持久的合作关系。拟议研究的目的是开发遥感能力建模的新方法，并在技术路线图框架中使用这些方法，以确定可持续的未来设计办法。随着人类加快努力实现净零排放，所有行业都必须调整自己的做法，继续提供至关重要的产品和服务，同时将对环境的影响降至最低。遥感是全球基础设施的关键要素，是我们实现联合国可持续发展目标的基础。然而，我们空间任务的可持续性(这一能力的支柱)理所当然地受到了质疑。在过去的十年中，航天器的发射增长了1000%以上，预计还会有进一步的增长。这将对我们的陆地环境产生重大影响，因为发射排放和重返大气层的碎片破坏了我们的大气层。该项目从UOM和麻省理工学院的基础工作中获得灵感，将使用解析和几何方法开发一个当前轨道遥感能力的模型。这一模型将首次允许在现有轨道制度的框架内评估未来系统的价值和影响。通过与空间和无人机行业的利益攸关方以及数据用户、环境专家和公众成员的接触，将确定未来的优先事项，并利用这些优先事项创建适当的优秀值。将能力模型集成到高级技术路线图架构中，以及定义的优先事项，将能够识别、评估和比较看似合理的未来情景。这种方法可以用来提供对未来可能的发展路线的洞察，为技术投资提供信息，并指导未来立法的制定。随着英国将自己定位为空间可持续发展领域的国际领导者，这是一个理想的机会，可以与美国的同事合作，为可持续的未来空间任务开发独特的建模方法和设计框架。虽然卫星轨道的确定性性质使其成为这项初步建模工作的理想之选，但预计拟议的技术可用于纳入无人机等航空系统，甚至包括陆基传感器，使其具有广泛的适用性，并为从地面到空间的遥感系统的综合分析铺平道路。该项目将包括三个核心工作包：1.通过以下方式在曼彻斯特大学和麻省理工学院的相关专家之间建立持久的伙伴关系：--联合“翻转”的积极会议和研讨会；--机构间指导和监督；以及--研究协作和创建联合出版物。制定一种轨道遥感建模方法，纳入目前的能力和轨道能力，作为今后可持续飞行任务设计的指南，办法包括：--机构间研究(包括2个月的借调)；--利用适当的案例研究对所开发的模型进行验证和测试；--联合出版方法并公开发布数据和代码。使用先进技术路线图架构内开发的能力模型，通过以下方式提出可持续的遥感技术设计方法：-上游参与，以确定利益攸关方的优先事项和最新水平；-使用能力模型评估先进技术路线图架构框架内的合理情景；以及-记录和公开发布方法和初步结果。

This project aims to build a lasting collaborative relationship between experts at the University of Manchester (UoM) and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) through focused cooperative research and use of active collaboration practices. The aim of the proposed research is to develop novel methods of remote sensing capability modelling and use these in a technology roadmapping framework to identify sustainable future design approaches. As humanity accelerates its efforts to achieve Net Zero, all industries must adapt their practices to continue providing vital products and services, while minimising environmental impact. Remote sensing is a key element of global infrastructure, underpinning our efforts to address the UN Sustainable Development Goals. However, the sustainability of our space missions (the backbone of this capability) is rightly being called into question. Launch of spacecraft has increased by more than 1000% in the past decade, with further increases expected. This will have a significant impact on our terrestrial environment as launch emissions and debris from re-entry damage our atmosphere.Taking inspiration from foundational work at UoM and MIT, this project will develop a model of current orbital remote sensing capabilities as 'shells', using analytical and geometrical approaches. This model would, for the first time, allow the value, and impact, of future systems to be assessed in the framework of the existing orbital regime. Through engagement with stakeholders across the space and drone industries, as well as data users, environmental experts, and members of the public, future priorities will be identified and used to create suitable figures of merit. Integration of the capability model within the Advanced Technology Roadmapping Architecture, alongside the defined priorities, will allow plausible future scenarios to be identified, assessed and compared. This method could be used to provide insights into possible future routes of development, inform technological investment, and guide creation of future legislation.As the UK positions itself to be an international leader in Space Sustainability, this is an ideal opportunity to work with colleagues in the US to develop a unique modelling approach and design framework for sustainable future space missions. While the deterministic nature of satellite orbits makes them ideal for this initial modelling work, it is expected that the proposed technique could be adapted to incorporate aerial systems, such as drones, and even ground based sensors, giving it a wide applicability and paving the way for integrated analysis of remote sensing systems from ground to space. This project will incorporate three core work packages:1. Develop a lasting partnership between relevant experts at the University of Manchester and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, via:- Joint 'flipped' active meetings and seminars;- Inter-institutional mentoring and supervision; and- Research collaboration and creation of joint publications.2. Develop a method of orbital remote sensing modelling, incorporating current capabilities and orbital capacity, as a guide for future sustainable mission design, via:- Inter-institutional research (including a 2-month secondment);- Validation and testing of the developed model using suitable case studies; and- Joint publication of methods and open release of data and code.3. Use the developed capability model within the Advanced Technology Roadmap Architecture to propose a sustainable remote sensing technology design approach via:- Upstream engagement to identify stakeholder priorities and state-of-the-art;- Use of the capability model to assess plausible scenarios within the Advanced Technology Roadmap Architecture framework; and - Documentation and open release of approach and initial findings.