The Peaceful Return of Victims of Forced Displacement (PEACERETURN)

“和平回归”的重点是被迫流离失所的受害者及其返回家园的决定。尽管各国政府、国际非政府组织和往往流离失所的受害者本身对和平自愿回返的价值日益达成共识，但在过去三十年中，全世界实际回返者的比例显著下降。我们对自愿回报减少的原因以及导致部分成功回报或失败的原因知之甚少。在《回归和平》一书中，我调查了流离失所者如何决定是否返回家园，并询问为什么有些人会不顾困难而不重新点燃过去的冲突而返回家园。为了了解这个复杂的问题，我将开发一个冲突导致的流离失所的全球数据库，并借鉴世界各地的代表性案例，提供关于调解进程、社区动员努力和更有可能支持返回者的微观制度设计的一般性知识。我提出了一项比较研究计划，调查在七个国家，即阿塞拜疆、保加利亚、哥伦比亚、塞浦路斯、埃塞俄比亚、卢旺达和乌克兰，如何以自愿、和平和可持续的方式谈判和实施返回，这些国家代表了返回的不同阶段、禁止条件和结果。这项多方法跨学科研究将跨越比较政治学、社会心理学、冲突和性别研究，结合档案研究、专家访谈、调查和实验、公民主导的调解/模拟，以及案例研究的重点比较。通过调查难民研究中的一个核心问题——一些流离失所的人为什么以及如何设法返回家园——该项目将为地区和全球应对被迫移民提供信息。

PEACERETURN focuses on victims of forced displacement and their decisions to return home. Despite the growing consensus among governments, international NGOs, and frequently victims of displacement themselves of the value of peaceful voluntary return, the proportion of actual returnees worldwide has been in significant decline in the past three decades. We know very little about why voluntary return is declining and what leads to partially successful returns or failures. In PEACERETURN, I investigate how displaced persons decide whether to return home or not to return and ask why some return, despite the odds and without reigniting past conflict. In order to understand this complex issue, I will develop a global database of conflict-induced displacements and draw on representative cases around the world to provide generalizable knowledge on the mediation processes, community mobilization efforts and micro-institutional designs more likely to support returnees. I propose a comparative research program that investigates how return is negotiated and implemented in ways that are voluntary, peaceful, and sustainable in seven countries: Azerbaijan, Bulgaria, Colombia, Cyprus, Ethiopia, Rwanda and Ukraine representing different stages of return, prohibitive conditions, and outcomes. This multi-method interdisciplinary research will cut across comparative politics, social psychology, and conflict and gender studies, using a combination of archival research, expert interviews, surveys and experiments, citizen-led mediations/simulations, and focused comparisons of case studies. By investigating a central question in refugee studies-why and how some displaced manage to return home-the project will inform regional and global responses to forced migration.