SOCIOECONOMIC AND POLICY INFLUENCE ON FERTILITY DECLINE

拟议的研究将调查社会，经济和政策 对印度尼西亚生育率长期下降的影响， 马来西亚半岛，特别注意 社会经济变化以及公共项目和政策。 虽然这些 大多数人认为，这两个国家有一些重要的文化相似之处。 从人口和经济的角度来看， 社会经济发展。 然而，令人惊讶的是，目前的水平和 这两个国家的生育率历史模式非常相似。 拟议的工作将利用长时间跨度的家庭一级 马来西亚家庭生活调查（MFLS）和 印度尼西亚家庭生活调查，以评估相对贡献 生育率下降对收入、死亡率、收入 妇女的机会、教育的费用和可获得性以及获得 有效的生育调节方法。 分析还将明确调查代际影响 生育率，这在一些理论模型中得到了关注，但 在实证研究中很少受到关注。 有钱的MLS 和IFLS关于人口、社会和经济变量的微观数据， 一个以上的世代允许经验检验的影响， 这些代际模式。 这些经历的并置 这两个经历了广泛社会经济变革的国家 随着时间的推移，我们可以观察到， 人口和经济条件的变化影响生育率， 发展水平相当。

The proposed research will investigate the social, economic, and policy influences on the long-run declines in fertility in Indonesia and Peninsular Malaysia, with special attention to the relative roles of socioeconomic change and of public programs and policies. Although these two countries have some important cultural similarities, by most demographic and economic measures they are at very different stages of socioeconomic development. Surprisingly, however, the current levels and historical patterns of fertility in these two countries are very similar. The proposed work will use the long time span of household-level information available in the Malaysian Family Life Surveys (MFLS) and the Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS) to assess the relative contributions to fertility decline of changes in income, mortality rates, earnings opportunities of women, the cost and availability of education, and access to efficient methods of fertility regulation. The analysis will also explicitly investigate intergenerational influences on fertility, which have received attention in some theoretical models, but have received very little attention in empirical studies. The rich MFLS and IFLS micro-level data on demographic, social, and economic variables on more than one generation allow empirical testing of the implications of these intergenerational models. The juxtaposition of the experiences of these two countries that have experienced extensive socioeconomic change over time will allow us to observe how differences in the path or rate of change in demographic and economic conditions influence fertility at comparable levels of development.