AeroCom Workshop 2010 ['APPRAISE']

虽然人为气候变化的科学证据是毋庸置疑的，但对地球气候的定量预测仍然存在重大不确定性。气溶胶、云层及其复杂的相互作用没有受到足够的约束，这可以说是当前全球气候模型中最大的不确定性。鉴于目前对气候变化的成本和风险的估计相当于每年损失至少5%的全球国内生产总值，有可能上升到20%[斯特恩，2007年]，向政府和企业的利益攸关方传播以气溶胶为重点的物理气候研究的最新技术，具有至关重要的经济和社会意义。AeroCom项目是一个开放的国际倡议，旨在促进对全球气溶胶及其对气候影响的了解。AeroCom的参与者在一个学术研究和应用气候研究中心的代表性大致相同的多元化社区中积极交流知识。自2003年成立以来，AeroCom已成为关于气雾剂气候影响的一个重要国际论坛--AeroCom的活动已有效地将其成果传播给利益攸关方，例如通过政府间气候变化专门委员会。继续举办和计划举办年度讲习班，以支持在研究人员、用户和利益攸关方的不同群体中进一步传播科学和交流知识。NERC资助的气溶胶特性、过程和对地球气候的影响(评估)计划是英国关于气溶胶及其对气候的影响的主要科学倡议。几乎所有评价活动的目的都是改进当前可操作的全球气候模型中气溶胶的表示，并向利益攸关方通报人为气溶胶在各种地理和时间尺度上的气候影响。在评价方案的资助下，2010年在牛津举办的AeroCom研讨会将提供一个独特的平台，进一步提高英国气溶胶科学在国际社会中的形象，并使向国家和国际利益攸关方传播由NERC资助的研究成为评价方案的一个组成部分。我们预计，拟议中的AeroCom会议将提供一系列成果，而不仅仅是气溶胶研究人员之间基本分享最先进的科学技术。作为一个研究界，我们需要更好地了解初级气溶胶研究可以实现哪些地方、区域、国家和国际经济、社会和教育目标。通过邀请终端用户和利益相关者并与之接触，AeroCom 2010将有助于实现评估知识交流目标。

While the scientific evidence for anthropogenic climate change is undisputed, significant uncertainties remain in quantitative predictions of the earth's climate. The insufficiently constrained role of aerosols, clouds and their complex interactions is arguably the single greatest uncertainty in current global climate models. Given that current estimates of the costs and risks of climate change are equivalent to losing at least 5% of global GDP each year, potentially rising to 20% [Stern, 2007], the dissemination of the current state of the art in aerosol-focused physical climate research to stakeholders in Government and business is of crucial economic and social importance. The AeroCom-project is an open international initiative to advance the understanding of the global aerosol and its impact on climate. The AeroCom participants actively exchange knowledge in a diverse community with about equal representation of academic research and applied climate research centres. Since its establishment in 2003, AeroCom has become a key international forum on the climate effects of aerosols - and AeroCom activities have effectively disseminated their results to stakeholders, e.g. through the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Annual workshops continue to be conducted and planned to support further scientific dissemination and knowledge exchange across a diverse community of researchers, users and stakeholders. The NERC funded Aerosol Properties, PRocesses And Influences on the Earth's climate (APPRAISE) programme is the main UK science initiative on aerosols and their effects on climate. Virtually all APPRAISE activities aim to refine the representation of aerosols in current operational global climate models as well as to inform stakeholders about the climatic effects of anthropogenic aerosols on a range of geographic and temporal scales. The hosting of the AeroCom workshop 2010 in Oxford, funded by the APPRAISE programme, will provide a unique platform to further raise the profile of UK aerosol science within the international community and make the dissemination of NERC funded research to national and international stakeholders an integral output of APPRAISE. We expect that the proposed AeroCom conference will deliver a range of outputs beyond the fundamental sharing of the scientific state of the art amongst aerosol researchers. As a research community we need to better understand what local, regional, national and international economic, social and educational goals can be addressed by primary aerosol research. By inviting and engaging with the range of end-users and stakeholders, AeroCom 2010 will help to deliver the APPRAISE knowledge exchange goals.