How does public opinion respond to performance of the National Health Service in England? Theory and evidence.

在先前关于经济表现的回顾性投票研究的基础上，该研究将调查选民如何看待公共服务的表现。该项目将借鉴广泛的经济投票文献，以发展公众对国民保健服务绩效的看法的决定因素更具理论性的帐户。该研究将考察党派关系、政治复杂性和地方与国家绩效对公众舆论的影响，并探讨当前绩效指标或“负面事件”（如信托基金进入特殊措施）如何影响人们对NHS的看法。该项目将利用来自英国选举研究和英国社会态度系列调查的小组数据，结合官方的地区表现统计数据和负面事件记录，来衡量公众舆论的变化。

Building on previous research into retrospective voting about economic performance, the study will examine how voters perceive performance of public services. The project will draw on extensive economic voting literature to develop a more theoretical account of the determinants of public perceptions of NHS performance. The study will examine the role of the partisanship, political sophistication and local vs national performance effects on public opinion and also explore how current performance metrics, or 'negative events' such as Trusts entering special measures, affect people's opinions of the NHS.The project will measure changes in public opinion using panel data from the British Election Study, and the British Social Attitudes series of surveys, in conjunction with official regional performance statistics and records of negative events.