Quantifying and mitigating spatio-temporal risks to pollination services caused by climate change

预计气候变化将导致作物和授粉昆虫之间的不匹配。这些不匹配可能是空间的，即作物将生长的区域将不是适合授粉者的相同区域;或时间的，即作物的开花高峰期将与授粉者的飞行活动高峰期不一致。 本博士将使用苹果和梨探索这些关键风险。Worldwide Fruit Limited估计，这两种经济上重要的顶级水果在英国的年产值约为3500万英镑;但未来可能发生的变化所带来的生态和经济风险尚未量化，特别是对于新兴品种。

Climate change is expected to cause mismatches between crops and the insects that pollinate them. These mismatches may be spatial i.e. areas where crops will be grown will not be the same areas that are suitable for pollinators; or temporal i.e. the peak flowering period of the crop will not coincide with the peak flight activity of the pollinators. This PhD will explore these key risks using apples and pears. Worldwide Fruit Limited estimates the annual value of its UK production of these two economically important top fruits at ~ £35m; but ecological and economic risks posed by probable future change are as yet unquantified particularly for emerging varieties.