A Theoretical Model of Publication Bias

在我的博士学位上，我计划致力于社会科学领域的复制危机。我将使用出版偏差的理论模型来解释当前关于结果重复性的趋势，并分析政策建议。我计划写一篇关于当前科学研究的激励结构如何导致重复性问题的论文。然后，我可能会根据这项研究的结果撰写更多的论文，分析具体政策变化的影响，例如预先登记研究和改进统计方法。

In my PhD, I plan to work on the replication crisis in the social sciences. I will use a theoretical model of publication bias to explain the current trends regarding the reproducibility of results and analyse policy suggestions. I plan to write a paper on how the current incentive structure of scientific research leads to reproducibility problems. I may then write additional papers analysing the effects of specific policy changes, such as pre-registration of studies and improvement of statistical methods, in light of the results of this research.