Shifting Baselines of Climate Change Adaptation

最近的国际报告强调了当前适应气候变化努力的不足，包括低估了基于自然的解决方案。使用基于自然的适应解决方案面临的一个挑战是基线变化综合症，它指的是跨代和个人生活过程中环境条件的公认规范无意识的逐渐变化。虽然SBS已经围绕渔业科学进行了几十年的讨论，但它尚未被纳入适应性思考。在我的硕士论文的基础上，我提出了一个概念框架，用于解决SBS适应的社会生态后果，我的项目将调查湖区和苏格兰Bunloit的社会生态系统的适应。我将：（i）评估关键土地使用者和其他适应决策者中SBS的普遍性;（ii）调查当前的适应方法，并确定SBS对适应规划的影响程度;（iii）与当地土地使用者合作，共同制定适应计划，考虑长期的社会生态变化。与联合国生态系统恢复十年和英国政府的野化议程同时发生，该项目将为研究人员，政策制定者和土地使用者自己提供宝贵的见解，以建立长期的观点，以“基于自然”的适应努力。

Recent international reports have highlighted shortcomingsin current efforts to adapt to climate change, including theundervaluation of nature-based solutions. One challengefacing the use of nature-based solutions for adaptation isshifting baseline syndrome, which refers to theunconscious, gradual change in the accepted norms for thecondition of the environment across generations and overthe course of individual lives. While SBS has been indiscourses around fisheries science for decades, it has notbeen incorporated into thinking on adaptation. Building onmy master's thesis, in which I proposed a conceptualframework for addressing the social-ecologicalconsequences of SBS for adaptation, my project willinvestigate the adaptation of social-ecological systems inthe Lake District and in Bunloit, Scotland. I will: (i) assessthe prevalence of SBS among key land users and otheradaptation decision-makers; (ii) investigate currentadaptation approaches and determine the extent to whichSBS is influencing adaptation planning; and (iii) work withlocal land users to co-develop adaptation plans whichaccount for longer-term social-ecological change. Co-occurring with the UN Decade on Ecosystem Restorationand the UK government's rewilding agenda, this project willprovide valuable insights for researchers, policymakers,and land users themselves on building long-termperspectives into 'nature-based' adaptation efforts.