Vulnerability and resilience of global port infrastructure networks and supply chains to compound flooding

DPhil的这项研究旨在通过将网络脆弱性分析与供应链影响相结合，对全球港口及其相互依赖的网络进行系统的脆弱性评估。它还旨在开发一个模型平台，作为各种适应选择的复原力分析和评估的工具，以减少未来极端洪灾和社会经济发展预测下的风险。因此，这项研究可分为三个部分：(1)评估全球港口基础设施目前和未来对单一/复合洪水事件影响的脆弱性(从适用性和最终极限状态的角度来看)，包括区域/大陆范围内洪水事件之间的空间相互关系；(2)量化从单一/复合洪水事件到港口的全球供应链中断目前和未来的间接经济损害；(3)在旨在提高全球港口网络的复原力和支持供应链的决策框架内制定和测试一系列可能的决策/适应选择。

"This DPhil research aims to perform a systemic vulnerability assessment of global ports and its interdependent network from flooding by combining a network vulnerability analysis with supply chain impacts. It further aims to develop a modelling platform that can serve as a tool for resilience analysis and assessment of various adaptation options to reduce risk under projections of future flood extremes and socio-economic developments. This research can thus be split in three components: (I) to assess the current and future vulnerabilities of global port infrastructure to impacts from singular/compound flood events (both a serviceability and ultimate limit state perspective), including the spatial cross-correlation between flood events within a regional/continental scale; (II) to quantify the current and future indirect economic damages of disruptions in the global supply chains from singular/compound flood events to ports; (III) to develop and test a range of possible decision/adaptation options within a decision-making framework that aims at increasing the resilience of global port networks and supporting supply chains."