Valuing energy futures; a comparative analysis of value pools across UK energy system scenarios
Valuing energy futures; a comparative analysis of value pools across UK energy system scenarios
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评估能源期货；
DOI：
10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.08.200
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发表时间：
2017
期刊：
影响因子：
11.2
通讯作者：
M. Workman
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
M. Wegner;S. Hall;Jeffrey Hardy;M. Workman
自由化国家的电力市场主要由私营企业组成，这些企业就如何确保竞争优势做出战略决策。在脱碳目标和技术创新的推动下，能源转型将在电力行业的重新配置中创造新的市场并摧毁旧的市场。这项研究表明，到2050年，英国电力系统每年可获得高达210亿英镑的新财务价值，根据情况，这些新价值占整个电力行业的31%。为了服务于这些市场，电力供应需要商业模式创新和新的企业战略。能源情景可以为商业模式适应的战略决策提供信息，但到目前为止，情景建模还没有直接涉及公司的战略和行为。这在一定程度上是由于新古典主义关于坚定理性和完美预见的假设。本研究采用了基于资源的观点，植根于进化经济学的公司认为，量化的相对规模的市场创造和破坏的能源转型可以提供有用的洞察企业的行为和创新政策。
Electricity markets in liberalised nations are composed primarily of private firms that make strategic decisions about how to secure competitive advantage. Energy transitions, driven by decarbonisation targets and technological innovation, will create new markets and destroy old ones in a re-configuration of the power sector. This research suggests that by 2050 up to 21 bnGBP per year of new financial value is available in the UK electricity system, and that depending on scenario, these new values represent up to 31% of the entire electricity sector. To service these markets business model innovation and new firm strategies are needed in electric power provision. Energy scenarios can inform strategic decisions over business model adaptation, but to date scenario modelling has not directly addressed firm strategy and behaviour. This is due in part to neo-classical assumptions of firm rationality and perfect foresight. This research adopts a resource based view of the firm rooted in evolutionary economics to argue that quantifying the relative size of the markets created and destroyed by energy transitions can provide useful insight into firm behaviour and innovation policy.
不确定性对英国中期气候变化目标的影响
影响因子：
9
作者：
Watson J
通讯作者：
Watson J