Evaluating the relative importance of precipitation, temperature and land-cover change in the hydrologic response to extreme meteorological drought conditions over the North American High Plains
Evaluating the relative importance of precipitation, temperature and land-cover change in the hydrologic response to extreme meteorological drought conditions over the North American High Plains
复制标题
评估降水、温度和土地覆盖变化在北美高原极端气象干旱条件水文响应中的相对重要性
DOI:
10.5194/hess-23-1931-2019
复制
发表时间:
2019
影响因子:
6.3
通讯作者:
R. Maxwell
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
A. Hein;L. Condon;R. Maxwell
Abstract. Drought is a natural disaster that may become more common
in the future under climate change. It involves changes to temperature,
precipitation and/or land cover, but the relative contributions of each of
these factors to overall drought severity is not clear. Here we apply a
high-resolution integrated hydrologic model of the High Plains to explore
the individual importance of each of these factors and the feedbacks between
them. The model was constructed using ParFlow-CLM, which represents surface
and subsurface processes in detail with physically based equations.
Numerical experiments were run to perturb vegetation, precipitation and
temperature separately and in combination. Results show that decreased
precipitation caused larger anomalies in evapotranspiration, soil moisture,
stream flow and water table levels than increased temperature or
disturbed land cover did. However, these factors are not linearly additive when
applied in combination; some effects of multifactor runs came from
interactions between temperature, precipitation and land cover. Spatial
scale was important in characterizing impacts, as unpredictable and
nonlinear impacts at small scales aggregate to predictable, linear large-scale behavior.
影响因子:
4.8
作者:
Gosling, Simon N.;Zaherpour, Jamal;Zhang, Xinxin
通讯作者:
Zhang, Xinxin