Suitability of European climate for the Asian tiger mosquito Aedes albopictus: recent trends and future scenarios.
Suitability of European climate for the Asian tiger mosquito Aedes albopictus: recent trends and future scenarios.
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DOI：
10.1098/rsif.2012.0138
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发表时间：
2012-10-07
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Morse AP
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Caminade C;Medlock JM;Ducheyne E;McIntyre KM;Leach S;Baylis M;Morse AP
亚洲虎蚊（白纹伊蚊）是一种入侵物种，有可能传播登革热和基孔肯雅热等传染病。利用高分辨率的观测资料和区域气候模式对未来的设想，我们研究了欧洲对A.白纹伊蚊利用最近和未来的气候条件。结果表明，法国南部，北方意大利，西班牙的北方海岸，亚得里亚海的东部海岸和土耳其西部的气候适合的地区建立的蚊子在20世纪60年代至80年代。在过去的二十年里，气候条件已经变得更适合蚊子在西北欧中部（比荷卢经济联盟，德国西部）和巴尔干半岛，而他们已经变得不太适合在西班牙南部。未来可能出现类似的趋势，在北方欧洲模拟的风险增加，在南欧模拟的风险略有下降。这些分布的变化与有利于A越冬的潮湿和温暖的条件有关。北部的白纹伊蚊，以及可能限制其向南扩张的干燥和温暖的夏季。
The Asian tiger mosquito (Aedes albopictus) is an invasive species that has the potential to transmit infectious diseases such as dengue and chikungunya fever. Using high-resolution observations and regional climate model scenarios for the future, we investigated the suitability of Europe for A. albopictus using both recent climate and future climate conditions. The results show that southern France, northern Italy, the northern coast of Spain, the eastern coast of the Adriatic Sea and western Turkey were climatically suitable areas for the establishment of the mosquito during the 1960–1980s. Over the last two decades, climate conditions have become more suitable for the mosquito over central northwestern Europe (Benelux, western Germany) and the Balkans, while they have become less suitable over southern Spain. Similar trends are likely in the future, with an increased risk simulated over northern Europe and slightly decreased risk over southern Europe. These distribution shifts are related to wetter and warmer conditions favouring the overwintering of A. albopictus in the north, and drier and warmer summers that might limit its southward expansion.
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影响因子：
11.8
作者：
Hochedez P;Jaureguiberry S;Debruyne M;Bossi P;Hausfater P;Brucker G;Bricaire F;Caumes E
通讯作者：
Caumes E
影响因子：
2.1
作者：
Benedict, Mark Q.;Levine, Rebecca S.;Lounibos, L. Philip
通讯作者：
Lounibos, L. Philip
DOI：
10.2987/8756-971x(2006)22
发表时间：
2006-03-01
影响因子：
1
作者：
Elizondo-Quiroga, A;Flores-Suarez, A;Fernandez-Salas, I
通讯作者：
Fernandez-Salas, I
DOI：
10.1098/rsif.2011.0255
发表时间：
2012-02-07
期刊：
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface
影响因子：
--
作者：
Guis H;Caminade C;Calvete C;Morse AP;Tran A;Baylis M
通讯作者：
Baylis M
影响因子：
2.1
作者：
Kobayashi, M;Nihel, N;Kurihara, T
通讯作者：
Kurihara, T