Factors associated with deaths due to COVID-19 versus other causes: population-based cohort analysis of UK primary care data and linked national death registrations within the OpenSAFELY platform.

Factors associated with deaths due to COVID-19 versus other causes: population-based cohort analysis of UK primary care data and linked national death registrations within the OpenSAFELY platform.
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DOI:
10.1016/j.lanepe.2021.100109
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发表时间:
2021-07
期刊:
The Lancet regional health. Europe
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Goldacre B
Goldacre B
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
Bhaskaran K;Bacon S;Evans SJ;Bates CJ;Rentsch CT;MacKenna B;Tomlinson L;Walker AJ;Schultze A;Morton CE;Grint D;Mehrkar A;Eggo RM;Inglesby P;Douglas IJ;McDonald HI;Cockburn J;Williamson EJ;Evans D;Curtis HJ;Hulme WJ;Parry J;Hester F;Harper S;Spiegelhalter D;Smeeth L;Goldacre B

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COVID-19的死亡率与年龄和先前存在的医疗状况密切相关,其他原因的死亡率也是如此。我们的目的是研究与COVID-19以外原因的死亡率相比,特定因素与COVID-19死亡率的差异性相关性。我们代表英国NHS在OpenSAFELY平台上进行了一项队列研究。英国的初级保健数据与国家死亡登记有关。我们在2020年2月1日将所有成年人(年龄≥18岁)纳入数据库,并且连续登记超过1年;死亡的截止日期为2020年11月9日。个体水平特征与COVID-19和非COVID死亡(根据死亡证明上是否存在COVID-19代码作为潜在死亡原因进行分类)之间的关联,通过为这两种结果拟合年龄和性别调整的logistic模型进行估计。其中包括17,456,515人。17,063人死于新冠肺炎,134,316人死于其他原因。与COVID-19死亡相关的大多数因素与非COVID死亡相似,但关联程度不同。与非COVID死亡相比,年龄较大与COVID-19死亡的相关性更强(例如,≥80岁与50-59岁的OR分别为40.7 [95% CI 37.7-43.8]和29.6 [28.9-30.3]),男性、贫困、肥胖和一些合并症也是如此。与COVID-19死亡相比,吸烟、癌症史和慢性肝病与非COVID死亡的关联更强。所有非白色种族群体的COVID-19死亡几率均高于白色(黑人:2.20 [1.96-2.47],南亚人:2.33 [2.16-2.52]),但非COVID死亡几率低于白色(黑人:0.88 [0.83-0.94],南亚人:0.78 [0.75-0.81])。大多数个人层面的因素与COVID-19和非COVID死亡之间的类似关联表明,COVID-19在很大程度上增加了患者面临的现有风险,但也有一些值得注意的例外。识别导致非白人群体COVID-19死亡风险过高的独特因素是减少COVID-19死亡的优先事项。惠康,皇家学会,国家健康研究所,国家健康研究所牛津生物医学研究中心,英国医学研究理事会,英国健康数据研究。
Mortality from COVID-19 shows a strong relationship with age and pre-existing medical conditions, as does mortality from other causes. We aimed to investigate how specific factors are differentially associated with COVID-19 mortality as compared to mortality from causes other than COVID-19. Working on behalf of NHS England, we carried out a cohort study within the OpenSAFELY platform. Primary care data from England were linked to national death registrations. We included all adults (aged ≥18 years) in the database on 1st February 2020 and with >1 year of continuous prior registration; the cut-off date for deaths was 9th November 2020. Associations between individual-level characteristics and COVID-19 and non-COVID deaths, classified according to the presence of a COVID-19 code as the underlying cause of death on the death certificate, were estimated by fitting age- and sex-adjusted logistic models for these two outcomes. 17,456,515 individuals were included. 17,063 died from COVID-19 and 134,316 from other causes. Most factors associated with COVID-19 death were similarly associated with non-COVID death, but the magnitudes of association differed. Older age was more strongly associated with COVID-19 death than non-COVID death (e.g. ORs 40.7 [95% CI 37.7-43.8] and 29.6 [28.9-30.3] respectively for ≥80 vs 50-59 years), as was male sex, deprivation, obesity, and some comorbidities. Smoking, history of cancer and chronic liver disease had stronger associations with non-COVID than COVID-19 death. All non-white ethnic groups had higher odds than white of COVID-19 death (OR for Black: 2.20 [1.96-2.47], South Asian: 2.33 [2.16-2.52]), but lower odds than white of non-COVID death (Black: 0.88 [0.83-0.94], South Asian: 0.78 [0.75-0.81]). Similar associations of most individual-level factors with COVID-19 and non-COVID death suggest that COVID-19 largely multiplies existing risks faced by patients, with some notable exceptions. Identifying the unique factors contributing to the excess COVID-19 mortality risk among non-white groups is a priority to inform efforts to reduce deaths from COVID-19. Wellcome, Royal Society, National Institute for Health Research, National Institute for Health Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, UK Medical Research Council, Health Data Research UK.
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