Understanding weather futures based on the past: a case of Stornoway, Outer Hebrides

Understanding weather futures based on the past: a case of Stornoway, Outer Hebrides
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根据过去了解天气未来:外赫布里底群岛斯托诺韦的案例

DOI:
10.1080/14702541.2022.2158366
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发表时间:
2023
影响因子:
1
通讯作者:
Macdonald N
Macdonald N
中科院分区:
法学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Macdonald N

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我们展示了外赫布里底群岛的斯托诺威的天气历史,这是苏格兰西北海岸外的一个岛链。它结合了代表斯托诺威定居点(1857年至2019年)的164年新合成降雨记录,以及从斯托诺威尼科尔森研究所(1873年至1974年)的学校日志中收集的天气描述。学校日志记录了学校、学生和更广泛的社区在整个季节的经历。我们描述了1857-2019年期间降雨记录的构建,并对长期年度和季节变化进行了分析,特别关注极端湿/干。在研究仪器和定性资料时,我们不仅考虑气候,还考虑极端天气对外赫布里底群岛,特别是斯托诺威社区的影响和反应。十九世纪晚期,外赫布里底群岛的气候在气候和气象学上都具有挑战性,强烈的风暴、严寒和干旱对社会产生了显著的影响。学校日志提供了考察社会对过去气候变化的反应的机会,使人们能够更好地了解如何适应和应对未来的气候。
We present a weather history for Stornoway in the Outer Hebrides, an island chain off the northwest coast of Scotland. It combines a new 164-year composite rainfall record representative of the settlement of Stornoway (1857–2019), alongside descriptive accounts of weather harvested from the school logbooks from the Nicolson Institute in Stornoway (1873–1974). The school logbooks record the experiences of the school, school children and wider community throughout the seasons. We describe the construction of the rainfall record for the period 1857–2019 and present analyses of long-term annual and seasonal variability, with a particular focus on wet/dry extremes. In examining instrumental and qualitative sources together, we consider not just climate, but also the impacts and responses of extreme weather on the communities of the Outer Hebrides and specifically Stornoway. The climate of the late nineteenth century in the Outer Hebrides was climatologically and meteorologically challenging, with harsh storms, severe cold, and droughts with notable societal impacts. School logbooks provide the opportunity to examine societal responses to past climate variability, enabling a better understanding of how future climates may be adapted and responded too.
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