Modeling the regional spread and control of vancomycin-resistant enterococci.
Modeling the regional spread and control of vancomycin-resistant enterococci.
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DOI:
10.1016/j.ajic.2013.01.013
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发表时间:
2013-08
影响因子:
4.9
通讯作者:
Huang SS
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Lee BY;Yilmaz SL;Wong KF;Bartsch SM;Eubank S;Song Y;Avery TR;Christie R;Brown ST;Epstein JM;Parker JI;Huang SS
Because patients can remain colonized with vancomycin-resistant enterococci (VRE) for long periods of time, VRE may spread from one health care facility to another. Using the Regional Healthcare Ecosystem Analyst, an agent-based model of patient flow among all Orange County, California, hospitals and communities, we quantified the degree and speed at which changes in VRE colonization prevalence in a hospital may affect prevalence in other Orange County hospitals. A sustained 10% increase in VRE colonization prevalence in any 1 hospital caused a 2.8% (none to 62%) average relative increase in VRE prevalence in all other hospitals. Effects took from 1.5 to >10 years to fully manifest. Larger hospitals tended to have greater affect on other hospitals. When monitoring and controlling VRE, decision makers may want to account for regional effects. Knowing a hospital’s connections with other health care facilities via patient sharing can help determine which hospitals to include in a surveillance or control program.
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影响因子:
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作者:
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通讯作者:
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DOI:
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发表时间:
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影响因子:
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