Energy consumption and the influencing factors in China: A nonlinear perspective
Energy consumption and the influencing factors in China: A nonlinear perspective
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中国能源消费及其影响因素：非线性视角
DOI：
10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.119375
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发表时间：
2020-03
影响因子：
11.1
通讯作者：
Lin Boqiang
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Wang Ting;Wen Yuanyuan;Lin Boqiang
与以往能源库兹涅茨曲线的研究不同，本文没有直接考虑收入因素，而是对中国人均一次能源消费量和人均电力消费量进行非线性研究。中国的经济发展被认为是投资驱动型的，政府宏观经济政策尤其是政府支出在其中起着非常重要的作用。特别是，本文试图比较政府支出和其他影响因素对能源消费的不同影响。基于门槛回归的结果，未来随着经济的进一步发展，劳动人口增长的驱动力将放缓。与一次能源相比，电力消费与其影响因素之间的关系会发生较晚的变化，影响因素的影响差异主要体现在资本存量（投资）的形成和城市化的发展上。政府对私人物品的支出在能源消费和清洁生产方面可能并不总是像文献中以前认为的那样效率低下。同时，政府公共产品支出的增长将成为一个强有力的驱动因素，这表明政府在参与公共产品提供时需要评估其对能源消费和能源效率的总体影响。论文还发现，在研究中国能源消费和区域差异问题时，东、中、西部地区的地理分类可能并不恰当。根据能源消耗水平进行分类可能是更好的选择之一。中国各省能源消费水平的分布与政府支出水平的分布是一致的。估算结果也为我们提供了重要的政策启示：政府教育支出具有重要意义，通过技术进步可以产生较强的节能效应。
Different from many studies on Energy Kuznets Curve, this paper does not directly consider income factor but conducts a nonlinear study on per capita primary energy consumption and electricity consumption in China, whose economic development is considered investment-driven, in which government macroeconomic policies, especially government expenditure plays a very important role. In particular, this paper attempts to compare the different impacts of government expenditures and the other influencing factors on energy consumption. Based on the results of the threshold regression, in the future, with the further development of the economy, the driving force of labor population growth will slow down. Comparing with primary energy, the relationship between electricity consumption and its influencing factors will change later, and the difference in the effects of the influencing factors is mainly reflected in the formation of capital stock (investment) and the development of urbanization. Government expenditure on private goods may not be always as inefficient in energy consumption and cleaner production as previously thought in the literature. Meanwhile, the growth of government expenditure on public goods will become a powerful driving factor which indicates that the government needs to assess its overall impact on energy consumption and energy efficiency when participating in the provision of public goods. The paper also found that when studying the issue of energy consumption and regional differences in China, the geographic classification of eastern, central and western regions may not be appropriate. Grouping according to energy consumption levels may be one of the better options. And the distribution of energy consumption levels in China’s provinces is consistent with the distribution of government expenditure levels. The estimation results also provide us with important policy implications: the government expenditure in education is of great importance, and it can produce a strong energy-saving effect through technological progress.
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DOI：
--
发表时间：
2015-02
期刊：
--
影响因子：
--
作者：
G. Halkos;E. Paizanos
通讯作者：
G. Halkos;E. Paizanos
影响因子：
7
作者：
N. Sim
通讯作者：
N. Sim
影响因子：
7
作者：
Halkos, George E.;Paizanos, Epameinondas A.
通讯作者：
Paizanos, Epameinondas A.
DOI：
--
发表时间：
2000-02
期刊：
--
影响因子：
--
作者：
A. Heyes
通讯作者：
A. Heyes
影响因子：
9.8
作者：
Ramón López;Gregmar I. Galinato
通讯作者：
Ramón López;Gregmar I. Galinato