Mapping the path to a net‐zero chemicals industry by long‐term planning with changes in technologies and climate
Mapping the path to a net‐zero chemicals industry by long‐term planning with changes in technologies and climate
复制标题
通过技术和气候变化的长期规划，规划通向净零化工行业的道路
DOI：
10.1002/aic.18381
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发表时间：
2024
期刊：
影响因子：
3.7
通讯作者：
B. Bakshi
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Vyom Thakker;B. Bakshi
化学工业以及许多其他行业已承诺在未来几十年内实现温室气体、塑料等的净零排放。这需要系统的方法来指导对技术和价值链替代方案的投资，并制定路线图。所提出的框架是一个多时期规划模型，用于指导在承诺的时间范围内从摇篮到摇篮的生命周期网络的优化改革。它旨在实现环境目标，同时最大限度地减少自然资源的年化总成本以及与采用新技术相关的投资成本。这将技术准备水平的演变视为 S 曲线或连续时间马尔可夫链。综合评估模型考虑了气候变化、能源结构变化导致的脱碳以及碳税。多种气候变化情景和共享的社会经济路径用于模拟未来情景。除了提供路线图之外，输出还可以用于确定对未来场景具有鲁棒性的技术。
The chemical industry, along with many other industries, has pledged to reach net‐zero emissions within the next few decades for greenhouse gases, plastics, etc. This requires systematic methods to guide investment in technologies and value‐chain alternatives, and develop roadmaps. The proposed framework is a multiperiod planning model to guide optimal reforms in cradle‐to‐cradle life‐cycle networks across the pledged time horizon. It aims to meet environmental targets while minimizing the total annualized cost of natural resources and the investment cost associated with adoption of novel technologies. This considers the evolution of technology readiness levels as S‐curves or continuous time Markov‐chains. Integrated Assessment models account for climate change, decarbonization due to energy mix changes, and carbon taxes. Multiple climate change scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways are used to model future scenarios. In addition to providing roadmaps, the outputs can also be used to identify technologies that will be robust to future scenarios.
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DOI：
10.1021/acssuschemeng.2c05732
发表时间：
2023-01
期刊：
ACS Sustainable Chemistry & Engineering
影响因子：
--
作者：
Vyom Thakker;B. Bakshi
通讯作者：
Vyom Thakker;B. Bakshi
多尺度可持续工程：反应网络、生命周期和经济部门的综合设计
影响因子：
4.3
作者：
Thakker, Vyom;Bakshi, Bhavik R.
通讯作者：
Bakshi, Bhavik R.
影响因子：
1.8
作者：
A. Tsoukalas;A. Mitsos
通讯作者：
A. Tsoukalas;A. Mitsos
设计塑料和纸质手提袋的价值链，实现可持续和循环经济
影响因子：
8.4
作者：
Thakker, Vyom;Bakshi, Bhavik R.
通讯作者：
Bakshi, Bhavik R.