Plasmodium vivax and Plasmodium falciparum infection dynamics: re-infections, recrudescences and relapses.
Plasmodium vivax and Plasmodium falciparum infection dynamics: re-infections, recrudescences and relapses.
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DOI:
10.1186/s12936-018-2318-1
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发表时间:
2018-04-17
期刊:
影响因子:
3
通讯作者:
Mueller I
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
White MT;Karl S;Koepfli C;Longley RJ;Hofmann NE;Wampfler R;Felger I;Smith T;Nguitragool W;Sattabongkot J;Robinson L;Ghani A;Mueller I
In malaria endemic populations, complex patterns of Plasmodium vivax and Plasmodium falciparum blood-stage infection dynamics may be observed. Genotyping samples from longitudinal cohort studies for merozoite surface protein (msp) variants increases the information available in the data, allowing multiple infecting parasite clones in a single individual to be identified. msp genotyped samples from two longitudinal cohorts in Papua New Guinea (PNG) and Thailand were analysed using a statistical model where the times of acquisition and clearance of each clone in every individual were estimated using a process of data augmentation. For the populations analysed, the duration of blood-stage P. falciparum infection was estimated as 36 (95% Credible Interval (CrI): 29, 44) days in PNG, and 135 (95% CrI 94, 191) days in Thailand. Experiments on simulated data indicated that it was not possible to accurately estimate the duration of blood-stage P. vivax infections due to the lack of identifiability between a single blood-stage infection and multiple, sequential blood-stage infections caused by relapses. Despite this limitation, the method and data point towards short duration of blood-stage P. vivax infection with a lower bound of 24 days in PNG, and 29 days in Thailand. On an individual level, P. vivax recurrences cannot be definitively classified into re-infections, recrudescences or relapses, but a probabilistic relapse phenotype can be assigned to each P. vivax sample, allowing investigation of the association between epidemiological covariates and the incidence of relapses. The statistical model developed here provides a useful new tool for in-depth analysis of malaria data from longitudinal cohort studies, and future application to data sets with multi-locus genotyping will allow more detailed investigation of infection dynamics. The online version of this article (10.1186/s12936-018-2318-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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影响因子:
3
作者:
Mueller I;Widmer S;Michel D;Maraga S;McNamara DT;Kiniboro B;Sie A;Smith TA;Zimmerman PA
通讯作者:
Zimmerman PA
影响因子:
4.3
作者:
McQueen, Philip G.;McKenzie, F. Ellis
通讯作者:
McKenzie, F. Ellis
影响因子:
3
作者:
Bretscher MT;Maire N;Felger I;Owusu-Agyei S;Smith T
通讯作者:
Smith T
DOI:
10.1093/cid/ciq249
发表时间:
2011-03-01
期刊:
Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America
影响因子:
--
作者:
Douglas NM;Nosten F;Ashley EA;Phaiphun L;van Vugt M;Singhasivanon P;White NJ;Price RN
通讯作者:
Price RN
影响因子:
3
作者:
Kerlin DH;Gatton ML
通讯作者:
Gatton ML