A personal perspective on modelling the climate system
A personal perspective on modelling the climate system
复制标题
对气候系统建模的个人看法
DOI：
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复制
发表时间：
2016
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
T. Palmer
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
T. Palmer
鉴于它们与社会的相关性越来越大，我建议气候科学界本身并没有足够紧迫地对待气候系统无差错模型的开发。随着难度的增加，我讨论了一些加快这种发展的建议。首先，我认为气候科学应该更好地利用数学和物理方面的博士后人才库，开发下一代气候模型。其次，我相信将天气和气候预测更无缝地联系起来的建模系统还有更大的发展空间。最后，在欧洲，我呼吁制定一项新的欧洲极限计算和气候计划，以提高我们模拟极端气候的能力，并了解此类极端情况的驱动因素。该计划的一个关键目标是开发一个 1 公里的全球气候系统模型，并于 2020 年代初在第一台百亿亿次超级计算机上运行。
Given their increasing relevance for society, I suggest that the climate science community itself does not treat the development of error-free ab initio models of the climate system with sufficient urgency. With increasing levels of difficulty, I discuss a number of proposals for speeding up such development. Firstly, I believe that climate science should make better use of the pool of post-PhD talent in mathematics and physics, for developing next-generation climate models. Secondly, I believe there is more scope for the development of modelling systems which link weather and climate prediction more seamlessly. Finally, here in Europe, I call for a new European Programme on Extreme Computing and Climate to advance our ability to simulate climate extremes, and understand the drivers of such extremes. A key goal for such a programme is the development of a 1 km global climate system model to run on the first exascale supercomputers in the early 2020s.
影响因子：
4.9
作者：
G. Masato;B. Hoskins;T. Woollings
通讯作者：
G. Masato;B. Hoskins;T. Woollings