Financial and risk management in agricultural cooperatives with application to the milk industry in New Zealand

Financial and risk management in agricultural cooperatives with application to the milk industry in New Zealand
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农业合作社的财务和风险管理及其在新西兰牛奶行业的应用

DOI:
10.1080/00207543.2020.1797204
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发表时间:
2020-08
影响因子:
9.2
通讯作者:
Tava Lennon Olsen
Tava Lennon Olsen
中科院分区:
工程技术2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Xiaoyan Qian;Tava Lennon Olsen

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本文研究的是农业专业合作社的财务与风险管理问题。为了获得必要的风险资本,以实施增值加工等竞争战略,许多农业合作社正在采用资本结构创新。恒天然是新西兰乳制品行业的领先和主导企业,就是这样一个典型案例。我们提出了一个马尔可夫决策过程(MDP)模型,以帮助恒天然在考虑牛奶供应、股价、牛奶价格和奶农投资行为等不确定信息的情况下做出更好的决策,目标是使股东的长期回报最大化,同时使财务风险最小化。该模型通过一个近似的动态规划算法求解。我们还通过数值实验研究了几种风险管理策略的有效性。研究结果反映了财务决策中的权衡,表明了设计有效的风险管理政策的重要性,并提出了一些减轻财务风险的建议。
This paper studies the financial and risk management specific to agricultural cooperatives (co-ops). In order to acquire the necessary risk capital to implement competitive strategies, like value-added processing, many agricultural co-ops are adopting capital structure innovations. Fonterra, a leading and dominant company in the New Zealand dairy industry, is one such typical case. We propose a Markov decision process (MDP) model for Fonterra to make better decisions, taking into account uncertain information on milk supply, share price, milk price and farmers' investment behaviour.The objectives are to maximise equity holders' returns over time and also to minimise financial risks. Themodel is solved through an approximate dynamic programming algorithm. We also investigate the efficiency of several risk management policies through numerical experiments. The results reflect the trade-offs involved in the financial decisions, show the importance of designing effective risk management policies and yield some suggestions to mitigate financial risk.
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