Key tropical crops at risk from pollinator loss due to climate change and land use.
Key tropical crops at risk from pollinator loss due to climate change and land use.
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DOI：
10.1126/sciadv.adh0756
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发表时间：
2023-10-13
期刊：
影响因子：
13.6
通讯作者：
Newbold, Tim
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Millard, Joseph;Outhwaite, Charlotte L.;Ceausu, Silvia;Carvalheiro, Luisa G.;Silva, Felipe Deodato da Silva e;Dicks, Lynn V.;Ollerton, Jeff;Newbold, Tim
昆虫传粉者的生物多样性正在迅速变化，对作物授粉的提供有潜在的影响。然而，土地利用-气候相互作用在授粉生物多样性变化中的作用，以及通过作物授粉变化产生的经济影响，仍然知之甚少。我们提出了一个全球性的评估气候变化和土地利用的相互作用对传粉昆虫的丰度和丰富性和预测的风险，作物授粉推断的变化。使用包含2673个站点和3080种昆虫传粉者的数据集，我们表明，农业和气候变化的相互结合与昆虫传粉者的大量减少有关。因此，预计热带地区的作物生产将面临传粉媒介损失的最大风险。撒哈拉以南非洲、南美洲北方和东南亚地区的局部风险最高，预计增长最快。仅通过授粉者的损失，气候变化和农业土地使用就可能对人类福祉构成风险。农业和气候变化造成的传粉媒介损失给热带地区的主要作物，特别是可可的生产带来了风险。
Insect pollinator biodiversity is changing rapidly, with potential consequences for the provision of crop pollination. However, the role of land use–climate interactions in pollinator biodiversity changes, as well as consequent economic effects via changes in crop pollination, remains poorly understood. We present a global assessment of the interactive effects of climate change and land use on pollinator abundance and richness and predictions of the risk to crop pollination from the inferred changes. Using a dataset containing 2673 sites and 3080 insect pollinator species, we show that the interactive combination of agriculture and climate change is associated with large reductions in insect pollinators. As a result, it is expected that the tropics will experience the greatest risk to crop production from pollinator losses. Localized risk is highest and predicted to increase most rapidly, in regions of sub-Saharan Africa, northern South America, and Southeast Asia. Via pollinator loss alone, climate change and agricultural land use could be a risk to human well-being. Pollinator losses from agriculture and climate change risk production of key crops in the tropics, especially cocoa.
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DOI：
10.1016/j.gfs.2018.09.003
发表时间：
2018-12-01
影响因子：
8.9
作者：
Hamblin, John;Barbetti, Martin J.;Nichols, Philip
通讯作者：
Nichols, Philip
影响因子：
8.8
作者：
Chao, A;Chazdon, RL;Shen, TJ
通讯作者：
Shen, TJ
影响因子：
3.7
作者：
Giannini TC;Costa WF;Cordeiro GD;Imperatriz-Fonseca VL;Saraiva AM;Biesmeijer J;Garibaldi LA
通讯作者：
Garibaldi LA
DOI：
10.1098/rspb.2012.1621
发表时间：
2012-12-07
影响因子：
4.7
作者：
Albrecht, Matthias;Schmid, Bernhard;Mueller, Christine B.
通讯作者：
Mueller, Christine B.
DOI：
10.1073/pnas.1012431108
发表时间：
2011-04-05
影响因子：
11.1
作者：
Garibaldi, Lucas A.;Aizen, Marcelo A.;Harder, Lawrence D.
通讯作者：
Harder, Lawrence D.