Can Conspiracy Beliefs Be Beneficial? Longitudinal Linkages Between Conspiracy Beliefs, Anxiety, Uncertainty Aversion, and Existential Threat.

Can Conspiracy Beliefs Be Beneficial? Longitudinal Linkages Between Conspiracy Beliefs, Anxiety, Uncertainty Aversion, and Existential Threat.
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DOI:
10.1177/01461672211060965
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发表时间:
2023-02
影响因子:
4
通讯作者:
Becker, Julia C.
Becker, Julia C.
中科院分区:
心理学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Liekefett, Luisa;Christ, Oliver;Becker, Julia C.

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研究表明,阴谋论信仰之所以被采纳,是因为它们承诺可以减少焦虑、不确定性和威胁。然而,很少有研究调查阴谋论信仰是否真的兑现了这些承诺。我们进行了两项纵向研究(NStudy 1=405,NStudy 2=1,012)来考察阴谋论信念是如何产生的,并反过来影响焦虑、不确定性厌恶和存在威胁。随机截取交叉滞后小组分析表明,平均而言,更焦虑、更厌恶不确定性、更存在威胁的人拥有更强的阴谋论信念。阴谋论信念的增加要么与焦虑、不确定性厌恶和生存威胁的变化无关(研究2),要么甚至预测这些变量的增加(研究1)。在这两项研究中,阴谋论信念的增加预示着随后阴谋论信念的增加,这表明了一个自我强化的循环。我们的结论是,阴谋论信仰可能不会产生有益的后果,甚至可能会强化焦虑、不确定性厌恶和生存威胁的负面体验。
Research suggests that conspiracy beliefs are adopted because they promise to reduce anxiety, uncertainty, and threat. However, little research has investigated whether conspiracy beliefs actually fulfill these promises. We conducted two longitudinal studies (NStudy 1 = 405, NStudy 2 = 1,012) to examine how conspiracy beliefs result from, and in turn influence, anxiety, uncertainty aversion, and existential threat. Random intercept cross-lagged panel analyses indicate that people who were, on average, more anxious, uncertainty averse, and existentially threatened held stronger conspiracy beliefs. Increases in conspiracy beliefs were either unrelated to changes in anxiety, uncertainty aversion, and existential threat (Study 2), or even predicted increases in these variables (Study 1). In both studies, increases in conspiracy beliefs predicted subsequent increases in conspiracy beliefs, suggesting a self-reinforcing circle. We conclude that conspiracy beliefs likely do not have beneficial consequences, but may even reinforce the negative experience of anxiety, uncertainty aversion, and existential threat.
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