Uncertainty quantification in variable selection for genetic fine-mapping using bayesian neural networks.

Uncertainty quantification in variable selection for genetic fine-mapping using bayesian neural networks.
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DOI:
10.1016/j.isci.2022.104553
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发表时间:
2022-07-15
期刊:
影响因子:
5.8
通讯作者:
Crawford, Lorin
Crawford, Lorin
中科院分区:
综合性期刊2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Cheng, Wei;Ramachandran, Sohini;Crawford, Lorin

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In this paper, we propose a new approach for variable selection using a collection of Bayesian neural networks with a focus on quantifying uncertainty over which variables are selected. Motivated by fine-mapping applications in statistical genetics, we refer to our framework as an “ensemble of single-effect neural networks” (ESNN) which generalizes the “sum of single effects” regression framework by both accounting for nonlinear structure in genotypic data (e.g., dominance effects) and having the capability to model discrete phenotypes (e.g., case-control studies). Through extensive simulations, we demonstrate our method’s ability to produce calibrated posterior summaries such as credible sets and posterior inclusion probabilities, particularly for traits with genetic architectures that have significant proportions of non-additive variation driven by correlated variants. Lastly, we use real data to demonstrate that the ESNN framework improves upon the state of the art for identifying true effect variables underlying various complex traits. Nonlinear genetic fine-mapping using an ensemble of single-effect neural networks Posterior quantification of uncertainty for variable selection via credible sets Improved coverage of credible sets and power for variable selection in simulations Data analyses reveal variants that nonlinearly contribute to phenotypic variation Genetics; Bioinformatics; Artificial intelligence
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