Neuraminidase inhibitors, superinfection and corticosteroids affect survival of influenza patients.
Neuraminidase inhibitors, superinfection and corticosteroids affect survival of influenza patients.
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DOI:
10.1183/09031936.00169714
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发表时间:
2015-06
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Hui DS
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Lee N;Leo YS;Cao B;Chan PK;Kyaw WM;Uyeki TM;Tam WW;Cheung CS;Yung IM;Li H;Gu L;Liu Y;Liu Z;Qu J;Hui DS
We aimed to study factors influencing outcomes of adults hospitalised for seasonal and pandemic influenza. Individual-patient data from three Asian cohorts (Hong Kong, Singapore and Beijing; N=2649) were analysed. Adults hospitalised for laboratory-confirmed influenza (prospectively diagnosed) during 2008– 2011 were studied. The primary outcome measure was 30-day survival. Multivariate Cox regression models (time-fixed and time-dependent) were used. Patients had high morbidity (respiratory/nonrespiratory complications in 68.4%, respiratory-failure in 48.6%, pneumonia in 40.8% and bacterial superinfections in 10.8%) and mortality (5.9% at 30 days and 6.9% at 60 days). 75.2% received neuraminidase inhibitors (NAI) (73.8% received oseltamivir and 1.4% received peramivir/zanamivir; 44.5% of patients received NAI ⩽2 days and 65.5% ⩽5 days after onset of illness); 23.1% received systemic corticosteroids. There were fewer deaths among NAI-treated patients (5.3% versus 7.6%; p=0.032). NAI treatment was independently associated with survival (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0.28, 95% CI 0.19–0.43), adjusted for treatment-propensity score and patient characteristics. Superinfections increased (adjusted HR 2.18, 95% CI 1.52–3.11) and chronic statin use decreased (adjusted HR 0.44, 95% CI 0.23–0.84) death risks. Best survival was shown when treatment started within ⩽2 days (adjusted HR 0.20, 95% CI 0.12–0.32), but there was benefit with treatment within 3–5 days (adjusted HR0.35, 95% CI 0.21–0.58). Time-dependent analysis showed consistent results of NAI treatment (adjusted HR 0.39, 95% CI 0.27–0.57). Corticosteroids increased superinfection (9.7% versus 2.7%) and deaths when controlled for indications (adjusted HR 1.73, 95% CI 1.14–2.62). Early NAI treatment was associated with shorter length of stay in a subanalysis. NAI treatment may improve survival of hospitalised influenza patients; benefit is greatest from, but not limited to, treatment started within 2 days of illness. Superinfections and corticosteroids increase mortality. Antiviral and non-antiviral management strategies should be considered.
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