Negative surprise in UN Security Council authorization: Do the UK and French vetoes influence the general public’s support of US military action?
Negative surprise in UN Security Council authorization: Do the UK and French vetoes influence the general public’s support of US military action?
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安理会授权负面意外：英国和法国的否决权是否影响了公众对美国军事行动的支持？
DOI：
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发表时间：
2019
影响因子：
3.6
通讯作者：
Atsushi Tago
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Naoko Matsumura;Atsushi Tago
据信，联合国安全理事会授权使用武力会增加公众对军事行动的支持。虽然学者们对联合国安理会授权的权力进行了理论和实践上的研究，但仍有许多问题我们不了解。特别是，我们认为有需要就“失败”的授权个案作进一步研究。正如特伦斯·查普曼在其理论框架中指出的那样，公众可以根据理事会的哪个常任理事国投了否决票而获得宝贵的信息;这反过来又影响公众对使用武力的态度。一个永远反对的人投下的预期否决票不会成为公众的信息。然而，如果否决权是由授权决议的提案国的盟国投的，反对票就起到了信息捷径的作用，表明使用武力会带来各种问题，从而减少公众对军事行动的支持。使用在线调查实验，我们发现支持这一论点的证据。我们的数据还表明，令人惊讶的负面信息会改变人们对拟议军事行动的合法性、合法性、公共产品和美国利益的看法，但与对成本、伤亡或持续时间的看法无关。
Authorization of the use of force by the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) is believed to increase levels of public support for military action. While scholars have performed sterling research both in theory and empirics on the power of UNSC authorization, there is still much that we do not understand. In particular, we believe that it is necessary to conduct a further study on ‘failed’ authorization cases. As Terrence Chapman points out in his theoretical framework, the general public can derive valuable information based on which of the permanent members of the Council casts a veto; this in turn affects public attitudes towards the use of force. An expected veto cast by the perpetual nay-sayer would not serve as information for the general public. However, if the veto is cast by an allied state of a proposer of the authorizing resolution, the negative vote functions as an information short-cut signaling that the use of force presents a variety of problems, thus reducing public support for the military action. Using online survey experiments, we find supportive evidence for this argument. Our data also suggest that surprising negative information changes the perceptions of legitimacy, legality, public goods, and US interest in a proposed military action, but is unrelated to the perception of costs, casualties or duration.
自愿联盟？
影响因子：
3.6
作者：
Johns R
通讯作者：
Johns R
赢得外国国内对使用武力的支持：外交和行动多边主义的力量
影响因子：
1.4
作者：
Ikeda M
通讯作者：
Ikeda M