Coalitions of the willing? International backing and British public support for military action

Coalitions of the willing? International backing and British public support for military action
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自愿联盟?

DOI:
10.1177/0022343314544779
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发表时间:
2014
影响因子:
3.6
通讯作者:
Johns R
Johns R
中科院分区:
法学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Johns R

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对公众对战争的支持的研究突出了背景的重要性。大多数人不是简单地支持或反对使用武力,而是根据局势的不同方面来评估其优点。其中一个方面是军事行动的国际支持程度--无论是来自单个国家还是超国家组织。这种支持可能是积极的,特别是通过部队的贡献,或者更多的是被动的认可或授权行动。在这篇文章中,嵌入了一项关于英国外交政策态度的大型互联网调查(N=2,205)的调查实验被用来探索国际支持如何影响公众对军事行动的支持。英国的军事潜力和近代史使其成为一个显而易见的案例。事实证明,积极支持和背书支持对支持都有不同的积极影响。重要的是,所涉部队的绝对人数远低于要派遣的总人数的比例。只有当英国人在总兵力中占很大比例时,敌人感知到的力量才能预测支持。前置变量被用来研究实验效应的来源,但收效甚微:国际支持的影响在整个样本中被证明是非常一致的。
Studies of public support for war highlight the importance of context. Most people do not simply support or oppose the use of force but instead assess its merits depending on various aspects of the situation. One such aspect is the extent of international backing – whether from individual states or supranational organizations – for military action. This backing may be active, notably through the contribution of troops, or more a passive matter of endorsement or authorization of action. In this article, a survey experiment embedded in a major internet survey of British foreign policy attitudes (N = 2,205) is used to explore how international backing affects public support for military action. Britain’s military potential and recent history make it an obvious case study here. Both active and endorsement backing prove to have separate and significant positive effects on support. Importantly, the absolute number of troops involved matters far less than the proportion of total troop numbers to be contributed. And the perceived strength of the enemy predicts support only when the British are to contribute a large proportion of total forces. Predispositional variables are used to investigate the sources of the experimental effects but with little success: the impact of international backing proves remarkably consistent across the sample.
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