Epidemiology of hip fracture in Botswana.

Epidemiology of hip fracture in Botswana.
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DOI:
10.1007/s11657-021-00885-x
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发表时间:
2021-02-07
影响因子:
3
通讯作者:
Kanis JA
Kanis JA
中科院分区:
医学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Kebaetse M;Nkhwa S;Mogodi M;Masunge J;Gureja YP;Ramabu M;Mmopelwa T;Sharif I;Orford A;Johansson H;Harvey NC;McCloskey EV;Cauley JA;Kanis JA

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博茨瓦纳共和国进行的一项回顾性人口调查确定了 3 年来髋部骨折的发生率。预计 2020 年全国此类骨折数量为 103 起,并且预计还会增加。本文介绍了博茨瓦纳共和国髋部骨折的流行病学。通过回顾性患者图表审查,从医院登记册中确定 2009 年、2010 年和 2011 年诊断为髋部骨折的患者人数。确定特定年龄和性别的髋部骨折发病率,并据此计算髋部骨折的终生概率和未来预测。髋部骨折的发生率较低,与突尼斯报告的发生率相当。男性和女性 50 岁时髋部骨折的剩余终生风险分别为 1.4% 和 1.1%。髋部骨折的发生率表明,预计2020年全国50岁以上人群中髋部骨折的人数为103人,预计到2050年将增加三倍以上,达到372人。髋部骨折发生率可用于医疗保健规划。此外,这些数据可用于创建 FRAX 模型,以帮助指导治疗决策。
A retrospective population-based survey in the Republic of Botswana determined the incidence of fractures at the hip over 3 years. The estimated number of such fractures nationwide for 2020 was 103 and is predicted to increase. This article describes the epidemiology of hip fractures in the Republic of Botswana. A retrospective patient chart review was conducted to identify from hospital registers the number of patients diagnosed with hip fracture in 2009, 2010, and 2011. Age- and sex-specific incidence of hip fracture was determined from which lifetime probabilities and future projections for hip fracture were calculated. The incidence of hip fracture was low and comparable to rates reported from Tunisia. The remaining lifetime risk of hip fracture at the age of 50 years in men and women was 1.4 and 1.1%, respectively. The incidence of hip fracture suggested that the estimated number of hip fractures nationwide in persons over the age of 50 years for 2020 was 103 and is predicted to increase by more than threefold to 372 in 2050. The hip fracture rates can be used for healthcare planning. Additionally, these data can be used to create a FRAX model to help guide decisions about treatment.
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