Implications of changes in households and living arrangements for future home-based care needs and costs for disabled elders in China.

Implications of changes in households and living arrangements for future home-based care needs and costs for disabled elders in China.
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DOI:
10.1177/0898264314552690
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发表时间:
2015-04
影响因子:
2.8
通讯作者:
Land KC
Land KC
中科院分区:
医学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Zeng Y;Chen H;Wang Z;Land KC

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Understand future home-based care needs/costs for disabled elders in China. Further develop/apply ProFamy extended cohort-component method. (1) Chinese disabled elders and percentage of national GDP devoted to home-based care costs for disabled elders will increase much quicker than growth of total elderly population; (2) Home-based care needs/costs for disabled oldest-old aged 80+ will increase much faster than that for disabled young-old aged 65–79 after 2030; (3) Disabled unmarried elders living alone and their home-based care costs increase substantially faster than disabled unmarried elders living with children; (4) Sensitivity analyses shown that possible changes in mortality and elderly disability status are the major factors affecting home-based care needs and costs; (5) Caregivers resources under two-child policy will be substantially better than under current fertility policy unchanged. Policy recommendations concerning reductions of prevalence of disability, gender equality, two-child policy, encouraging elder’s residential proximity to their adult children, etc.
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