Recent Improvements to Global Seasonal Crop Forecasting and Related Research
Recent Improvements to Global Seasonal Crop Forecasting and Related Research
复制标题
全球季节性作物预测及相关研究的最新进展
DOI：
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发表时间：
2019
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Wonsik Kim
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
T. Iizumi;Wonsik Kim
最近极端天气和气候的频率、强度和持续时间的变化，以及对农业商品市场粮食供应稳定性和粮食价格波动的相关关切，突出表明了全球作物监测和预测的重要性。即使在2010/2011年粮食危机结束后，对全球粮食生产的监测和预测需求仍然很高。本文简要介绍了美国国家农业和食品研究组织（NARO）及其合作者近年来在全球季节性作物预测方面的研究进展和成果。研究主题包括全球季节性作物预测（第7.2.1节）、气候振荡和全球产量（第7.2.2节）、气候变化和产量变异性（第7.2.3节）以及全球作物数据集（第7.2.4节）。我们还讨论了未来研究需要解决的问题，以进一步加强现有的全球作物监测和预报系统，以应对前所未有的极端天气事件。
Recent changes in the frequency, intensity, and duration of weather and climate extremes and associated concerns for the stability of food supply and food price volatility in agricultural commodity markets underpin the importance of global crop monitoring and forecasting. Demands for monitoring and forecasting global food production remain high, even after the end of the food crises of 2010/2011. This article briefly overviews the progress during recent years and research outcomes regarding global seasonal crop forecasting achieved by National Agriculture and Food Research Organization (NARO) and collaborators. The research topics include global seasonal crop forecasting (Sect. 7.2.1), climate oscillations and global yields (Sect. 7.2.2), climate change and yield variability (Sect. 7.2.3), and global crop datasets (Sect. 7.2.4). We also discuss issues that need to be addressed by future research to further strengthen existing global crop monitoring and forecasting systems in the face of unprecedented extreme weather episodes in a warmer climate.
DOI：
10.1111/nph.12722
发表时间：
2014-05
期刊：
The New phytologist
影响因子：
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作者：
Bebber DP;Holmes T;Smith D;Gurr SJ
通讯作者：
Gurr SJ