Impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on foreign trade intermodal transport accessibility: Evidence from the Yangtze River Delta region of mainland China.
Impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on foreign trade intermodal transport accessibility: Evidence from the Yangtze River Delta region of mainland China.
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DOI：
10.1016/j.tra.2022.09.019
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发表时间：
2022-11
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Guo L
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Hou W;Shi Q;Guo L
针对新冠疫情对外贸运输的影响，我们引入外贸多式联运可达性指数。首先，我们提出了FTITA的定义，它结合了国际多式联运网络将国内货物运输到海外地区的便利性和国内货物在海外地区的贸易吸引力。其次，分析了国内托运人的路径选择行为，提出了FTITA指数的测量方法。最后，以中国大陆长三角地区41个城市为始发地，以8个海外地区为目的地，实证分析了COVID-19疫情对FTITA的影响。通过疫情前后的实证研究，分析了长三角地区与海外8个地区的FTITA总体趋势、长三角地区FTITA分布的空间格局、长三角地区前10大城市FTITA平均值排名以及不同货物的FTITA。结果表明，长江三角洲地区的FTITA在大流行前的一年显着高于在大流行后的一年。此外，在大流行前和大流行后的年份，北美、日本/韩国、欧洲和东南亚的FTITA显著高于大洋洲、中东、南美和非洲。通过对长三角地区各城市FTITA空间格局的分析，发现高FTITA城市主要集中在上海港和宁波港附近;中高FTITA城市主要集中在浙南和沿着地区;中低FTITA城市主要集中在北方江苏;低FTITA城市集中在北方安徽。此外，比较COVID-19疫情对不同货物的FTITA的影响，我们观察到COVID-19对食品和事件货物的影响最小。我们的研究结果可以指导决策者实施政策，以减轻COVID-19疫情对外贸运输的影响，并进一步促进港口和航运业的可持续发展。
We address the problem of the impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on foreign trade transport by introducing a foreign trade intermodal transport accessibility (FTITA) index. First, we present the definition of FTITA, which combines the convenience of transporting domestic cargoes to overseas regions by an international intermodal transport network and the trade attractiveness of the domestic cargoes in the overseas regions. Second, we analyze the path choice behaviors of domestic shippers and propose the measurement method of the FTITA index. Finally, using the 41 cities in the Yangtze River Delta region in mainland China as origins and eight overseas regions as destinations, we empirically analyze the impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on the FTITA. With the empirical study conducted in the prepandemic and postpandemic years, we analyzed the overall trends of the FTITAs from the YRD region to eight overseas regions, spatial patterns of the distributions of the FTITAs in the YRD region, rankings of average FTITA values for the top ten cities in the YRD region, and the FTITAs for different cargoes. The results indicate that the FTITAs of the YRD region in the prepandemic year are significantly higher than those in the postpandemic year. Moreover, in both the prepandemic and postpandemic years, the FTITAs to North America, Japan/South Korea, Europe, and Southeast Asia are significantly higher than those to Oceania, Middle East, South America, and Africa. Through analysis of the spatial patterns of the FTITAs across cities in the YRD region, we find that the cities with high FTITA are mainly close to Shanghai Port and Ningbo Port; the cities with middle-high FTITA are mainly located in southern Zhejiang and the regions along the Yangtze River; the cities with middle-low FTITA are mainly located in northern Jiangsu; and the cities with low FTITA are located in northern Anhui. Furthermore, comparing the impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on the FTITAs for different cargoes, we observe that COVID-19 has the least impact on foodstuffs and event cargoes. Our findings can guide decision makers in implementing policies for alleviating the impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on foreign trade transport and further promoting the sustainable development of port and shipping industries.
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