A quantitative imaging biomarker for predicting disease-free-survival-associated histologic subgroups in lung adenocarcinoma.

A quantitative imaging biomarker for predicting disease-free-survival-associated histologic subgroups in lung adenocarcinoma.
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DOI:
10.1007/s00330-020-06663-6
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发表时间:
2020-07
期刊:
影响因子:
5.9
通讯作者:
--
中科院分区:
医学2区
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--
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Classification of histologic subgroups has significant prognostic value for lung adenocarcinoma patients who undergo surgical resection. However, clinical histopathology assessment is generally performed on only a small portion of the overall tumor from biopsy or surgery. Our objective is to identify a noninvasive quantitative imaging biomarker (QIB) for the classification of histologic subgroups in lung adenocarcinoma patients. We retrospectively collected and reviewed 1313 CT scans of patients with resected lung adenocarcinomas from two geographically distant institutions who were seen between January 2014 and October 2017. Three study cohorts, the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts, were created, within which lung adenocarcinomas were divided into two disease-free-survival (DFS)-associated histologic subgroups, the mid/poor and good DFS groups. A comprehensive machine learning– and deep learning–based analytical system was adopted to identify reproducible QIBs and help to understand QIBs’ significance. Intensity-Skewness, a QIB quantifying tumor density distribution, was identified as the optimal biomarker for predicting histologic subgroups. Intensity-Skewness achieved high AUCs (95% CI) of 0.849(0.813,0.881), 0.820(0.781,0.856) and 0.863(0.827,0.895) on the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts, respectively. A criterion of Intensity-Skewness ≤ 1.5, which indicated high tumor density, showed high specificity of 96% (sensitivity 46%) and 99% (sensitivity 53%) on predicting the mid/poor DFS group in the training and external validation cohorts, respectively. A QIB derived from routinely acquired CT was able to predict lung adenocarcinoma histologic subgroups, providing a noninvasive method that could potentially benefit personalized treatment decision-making for lung cancer patients.
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