Banks’ maturity mismatch, financial stability, and macroeconomic dynamics

Banks’ maturity mismatch, financial stability, and macroeconomic dynamics
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银行期限错配、金融稳定性和宏观经济动态

DOI:
10.1080/1331677x.2020.1867212
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发表时间:
2021-01
期刊:
Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Shanshan Wang
Shanshan Wang
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
Liu Yang;Yuhuan Yi;Shanshan Wang

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摘要2009年中国政府推出4万亿刺激计划后,银行总资产的平均期限大幅上升。本文利用中国2007年第一季度至2019年第四季度的数据,研究了期限错配问题的宏观经济含义。本文从以下几个维度扩展了新凯恩斯DSGE框架:(1)银行与居民之间的金融摩擦;(2)多期贷款契约;(3)作为宏观审慎监管工具的动态差别准备金率。利用中国数据对模型进行估计后,模拟结果表明,期限错配导致的融资成本缓慢调整会减弱真实的部门波动,但反馈效应会放大银行部门的反应。与此同时,严重的期限错配会削弱法定准备金率在生产率冲击下保持金融稳定的作用。
Abstract The average maturity of total bank assets has been rising sharply following the 4-trillion-yuan stimulus package proposed by the Chinese government in 2009. This paper investigates the macroeconomic implications of maturity mismatch problem using the Chinese data over the period 2007Q1–2019Q4. We extend the New-Keynesian DSGE framework from several dimensions: (i) financial frictions between banks and households; (ii) multi-period loan contracts; (iii) dynamic differential reserve requirement as a macroprudential regulation tool. After estimating the model with Chinese data, the simulation results indicate that the sluggish adjustment of financing cost caused by maturity mismatch will attenuate the real sector fluctuation, however, the feedback effects will amplify the responses of the banking sector. Meanwhile, a severe maturity mismatch will dampen the effect of the required reserve rate as a tool to keep financial stability when confronted with productivity shock.
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