Exploring the impact of resident proximity to wildfires in the northern Rocky Mountains: Perceptions of climate change risks, drought, and policy

Exploring the impact of resident proximity to wildfires in the northern Rocky Mountains: Perceptions of climate change risks, drought, and policy
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探索落基山脉北部居民接近野火的影响:对气候变化风险、干旱和政策的看法

DOI:
10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101420
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发表时间:
2020
影响因子:
5
通讯作者:
Matthew L. Spialek
Matthew L. Spialek
中科院分区:
地球科学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
C. Craig;Myria W. Allen;S. Feng;Matthew L. Spialek

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由于气候变化,全球野火灾害风险正在加剧。本文以美国落基山脉北部的野火为例,研究了气候变化导致的野火经验、知识和感知风险之间的联系,以及对两种国际相关战略(土地管理和公私合作)的潜在政策支持。2017年的火灾季节是落基山脉北部有记录以来最严重的火灾季节之一,造成了数十亿美元的损失和多人伤亡,需要进行勘探。为了为森林土地管理和私人/公共合作相关的野火政策提供信息,2017年8月,在落基山脉北部34个县的居民中进行了一项调查(N = 1154),这些居民要么经历过近距离的大型野火(N = 611),要么没有(N = 543)。与解释水平理论一致,感知到气候变化正在发生的居民对气候变化与当地条件(如干旱)之间的联系有更清晰的理解。那些经历过野火的人更有可能支持适应性政策(即土地管理变化,增加私人/公共合作)。经历过野火但没有意识到气候变化风险(经历过/没有风险)的居民不太可能将野火归因于干旱条件,更有可能支持土地管理举措。经历过野火并感知到气候变化风险(经验/风险)的居民更支持合作,但不支持土地管理举措。讨论了理论应用和意义。
Wildfire disaster risks are being heighted globally due to climate change. Here, we present a United States-based wildfire case study of the northern Rocky Mountains to investigate links between wildfire experience, knowledge, and perceived risk due to climate change and potential policy support for two internationally relevant strategies: land management and private/public collaboration. The 2017 fire season was one of the worst on record in the northern Rocky Mountains resulting in billions of dollars in damage and multiple casualties warranting exploration. In order to inform wildfire policy pertaining to forest land management and private/public collaboration, a survey (N = 1154) was conducted in August of 2017 among residents of 34 counties in the northern Rocky Mountains who had either experienced a close proximate large wildfire (n = 611) or had not (n = 543). Consistent with construal level theory, residents who perceived climate change is occurring had a clearer understanding of the link between climate change and local conditions (e.g., drought). Those who experienced a wildfire were more likely to support adaptive policies (i.e., land management changes, increased private/public collaboration). Residents who experienced a wildfire but did not perceive climate change risks (experienced/no risk) were less likely to attribute wildfires to drought conditions and more likely to support land management initiatives. Residents who experienced a wildfire and perceived climate change risks (experienced/risk) were more supportive of collaboration, but not land management initiatives. Theory application and implications are discussed.
心理距离的解释水平理论。
DOI: 10.1037/a0018963
发表时间: 2010-04
影响因子: 5.4
作者:
Trope, Yaacov;Liberman, Nira
通讯作者: Liberman, Nira