Endogenous Jurisprudential Regimes
Endogenous Jurisprudential Regimes
复制标题
内生法理制度
DOI：
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发表时间：
2012
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
M. Hall
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
M. Hall
判例制度理论是对美国最高法院判决的法律的解释，认为一个法律领域的关键判例从根本上重构了案件特征与未来案件结果之间的关系。在这篇文章中，我们提供了一个多变量多变点概率模型，可以用来内生地测试的存在性的审慎制度。与以前采用的方法不同，我们的模型是通过估计许多可能的变化点的位置沿着与结构参数。我们使用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗方法估计模型，并使用贝叶斯模型比较来确定变点的数量。我们的研究结果与设立条款和行政法背景下的审慎制度是一致的。我们发现，在言论自由和搜查和扣押方面，几乎没有支持假设的制度。我们提出的贝叶斯多变量变点模型具有广泛的潜在应用，研究结构性突变，无论是定期或不定期的时间序列数据的政治制度或过程。
Jurisprudential regime theory is a legal explanation of decision-making on the U.S. Supreme Court that asserts that a key precedent in an area of law fundamentally restructures the relationship between case characteristics and the outcomes of future cases. In this article, we offer a multivariate multiple change-point probit model that can be used to endogenously test for the existence of jurisprudential regimes. Unlike the previously employed methods, our model does so by estimating the locations of many possible changepoints along with structural parameters. We estimate the model using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, and use Bayesian model comparison to determine the number of change-points. Our findings are consistent with jurisprudential regimes in the Establishment Clause and administrative law contexts. We find little support for hypothesized regimes in the areas of free speech and search-and-seizure. The Bayesian multivariate change-point model we propose has broad potential applications to studying structural breaks in either regular or irregular time-series data about political institutions or processes.
影响因子：
2.1
作者：
Olshen, AB;Venkatraman, ES;Wigler, M
通讯作者：
Wigler, M