On the Physics of Three Integrated Assessment Models
On the Physics of Three Integrated Assessment Models
复制标题
三种综合评估模型的物理原理
DOI：
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发表时间：
2017
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
D. Stainforth
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Raphael Calel;D. Stainforth
综合评估模型是结合物理分析和经济分析来制定和评估气候变化政策的主要工具。政策制定者在试图平衡气候行动的收益和成本时，特别依赖于三个IAM-气候与经济动态综合模型（DICE），不确定性气候框架，谈判和分配（FUND）和温室效应政策分析（PAGE）。解开这些IAM的物理学原理可以完成四件事。第一，它揭示了这些国际气象机制的物理特性如何不同，以及这些差异在多大程度上导致了对气候变化的人类和经济代价的不同看法。第二，它使科学界更容易获得这些综合分析模型，从而邀请更多的物理专业知识进入综合分析模型界，以便对气候变化的经济评估能够更好地反映对气候系统的最新物理认识。第三，它增加了线路的可见性.
AbstractIntegrated assessment models (IAMs) are the main tools for combining physical and economic analyses to develop and assess climate change policy. Policy makers have relied heavily on three IAMs in particular—Dynamic Integrated model of Climate and the Economy (DICE), The Climate Framework for Uncertainty, Negotiation and Distribution (FUND), and Policy Analysis for the Greenhouse Effect (PAGE)—when trying to balance the benefits and costs of climate action. Unpacking the physics of these IAMs accomplishes four things. First, it reveals how the physics of these IAMs differ and the extent to which those differences give rise to different visions of the human and economic costs of climate change. Second, it makes these IAMs more accessible to the scientific community and thereby invites further physical expertise into the IAM community so that economic assessments of climate change can better reflect the latest physical understanding of the climate system. Third, it increases the visibility of the lin...
荒唐的故事和肥尾巴：极端变暖的科学和经济学
影响因子：
4.8
作者：
Calel R
通讯作者：
Calel R