Direct rebound effect for urban household in China—an empirical study

Direct rebound effect for urban household in China—an empirical study
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中国城镇家庭直接反弹效应的实证研究

DOI:
10.1007/s12053-017-9533-4
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发表时间:
2017-06
期刊:
影响因子:
3.1
通讯作者:
Xia Liu
Xia Liu
中科院分区:
工程技术4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Xuehui Li;Jianghua Liu;Xia Liu

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家庭部门已成为中国政府实施节能减排政策的重要目标部门。提高能源利用效率是中国政府节能的主要手段。但由于能量反弹效应的存在,其真实的节能效果会受到很大影响。本文建立了一个近似理想需求系统(LA/AIDS)线性近似模型,对中国城镇居民家庭的直接反弹效应进行了估计,并得到了提高能源效率的真实的节能效应。对反弹的评估有很大的不确定性,因此很难确定确切的数字。结果表明,中国城市家庭能源反弹率约为66%。就此而言,中国政府不可能仅通过提高能源效率来实现节能目标。能源价格改革等政策补充也是必要的。
Household sector has become one important target sector on which the Chinese government implements its energy-saving and emission reduction policies..Improving energy efficiency is the primary method adopted by the Chinese government for energy conservation. However, its real energy-saving effects would be affected greatly owing to energy rebound effects. In this paper, we set up a Linear Approximation of the Almost Ideal Demand System (LA/AIDS) model to estimate the direct rebound effect for urban households in China, and real energy conservation effect of improving energy efficiency is also obtained. The assessment of the rebound has a lot of uncertainty, and therefore, exact figures are hard to determine. The results show that energy rebound for Chinese urban household is approximately 66%. In this regard, the Chinese government could not accomplish the energy conservation target through improving energy efficiency only. Policy supplements like energy pricing reform are also needed.
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