Allocating Water in the Mekong River Basin during the Dry Season

Allocating Water in the Mekong River Basin during the Dry Season
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旱季期间湄公河流域的水分配

DOI:
10.3390/w11020400
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发表时间:
2019-02
期刊:
影响因子:
3.4
通讯作者:
Xia Wu
Xia Wu
中科院分区:
环境科学与生态学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Liang Yuan;Weijun He;Zaiyi Liao;Dagmawi Mulugeta Degefu;Min An;Zhaofang Zhang;Xia Wu

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随着人口数量的增加和人为气候变化,可用淡水的数量正在减少。这种情况可能导致水冲突的发生增加,特别是在跨界河流流域。需要制定预防战略,通过设计公平、高效和可持续的水分配框架来避免水冲突。考虑到沿河国家之间的社会经济和环境差异是分配方案应具备的最重要的特点之一。本文利用破产博弈和讨价还价博弈,构建了一种新的加权水量分配模型。将所提出的方法应用于湄公河枯水期有争议的水资源分配。湄公河发源于中国,流经缅甸、老挝、泰国、柬埔寨和越南。分配结果表明,除中国和越南外,其他沿江国家均获得了江河需水的全部请求权。水资源分配收益满足个体理性、帕累托最优和群体效用最大化。因此,拟议方案的分配产出是可自我执行和可持续的。
With population numbers increasing and anthropogenic climate change, the amount of available fresh water is declining. This scenario can lead to an increase in the occurrence of water conflicts, especially in transboundary river basins. Prevention strategies to avert water conflicts by designing a fair, efficient, and sustainable water allocation framework are needed. Taking into account the socioeconomic and environmental differences among the riparian countries is one of the most important features an allocation scheme should have. In this article, bankruptcy and bargaining games were used to construct a new weighted water allocation model. The proposed method was applied to allocate the contested water capital of the Mekong River during the dry season. The Mekong River originates in China and flows through Myanmar, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, and Vietnam. The results of the allocation showed that, except for China and Vietnam, all the other riparian countries get their full claim of the water demand from the river. The water allocation payoffs satisfy individual rationality, Pareto optimality, and maximization of the group utility. Therefore, the allocation outputs from the proposed scheme are self-enforceable and sustainable.
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