A currency basket and future exchange rate arrangements in Asia

A currency basket and future exchange rate arrangements in Asia
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亚洲货币篮子和未来汇率安排

DOI:
10.1080/20954816.2018.1426360
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发表时间:
2018
期刊:
Economic and Political Studies
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Sato Kiyotaka
Sato Kiyotaka
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
Shimizu Junko;Sato Kiyotaka

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由于美元在区域贸易和金融交易中的主导地位,以及事实上钉住美元的汇率政策,亚洲国家无法避免本国货币与美元之间的汇率风险。然而,近年来,中国政府积极推动人民币国际化,特别是在国际贸易中。2015年12月,中国推出了一个新的汇率指数对一篮子13种贸易加权货币,这可以被认为是一个重大转折点,从美元本位制转向更灵活的货币篮子制度。然而,估计的隐含篮子权重显示,多个亚洲经济体仍倾向于稳定其货币兑美元的汇率,而马来西亚和新加坡近年来稳定其货币兑人民币的汇率。由于当地货币国际化和区域货币安排通常相互促进,人民币国际化的进一步进展预计将促进中国在建立区域汇率政策协调方面发挥主导作用。
Due not only to a dominant role of the US dollar in regional trade and financial transactions but also tode factoUS dollar pegged exchange rate policy, Asian countries cannot avoid exchange rate risks between their own currency and the US dollar. In recent years, however, the Chinese government has actively promoted the Renminbi (RMB) internationalisation especially in international trade. In December 2015, China introduced a new exchange rate index against a basket of 13 trade-weighted currencies, which can be considered a major turning point from the US dollar standard toward a more flexible currency basket system. However, the estimated implicit basket weights reveal that several Asian economies still tend to stabilise their currencies against the US dollar, while Malaysia and Singapore have stabilised their currencies against RMB in recent years. Since the internationalisation of local currencies and regional monetary arrangements are typically facilitated with each other, further progress of RMB internationalisation is expected to promote a leading role of China in establishing regional exchange rate policy coordination.
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