Geometric Constraints Dominate the Antigenic Evolution of Influenza H3N2 Hemagglutinin.
Geometric Constraints Dominate the Antigenic Evolution of Influenza H3N2 Hemagglutinin.
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DOI:
10.1371/journal.ppat.1004940
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发表时间:
2015-05
期刊:
影响因子:
6.7
通讯作者:
Wilke CO
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Meyer AG;Wilke CO
We have carried out a comprehensive analysis of the determinants of human influenza A H3 hemagglutinin evolution. We consider three distinct predictors of evolutionary variation at individual sites: solvent accessibility (as a proxy for protein fold stability and/or conservation), Immune Epitope Database (IEDB) epitope sites (as a proxy for host immune bias), and proximity to the receptor-binding region (as a proxy for one of the functions of hemagglutinin-to bind sialic acid). Individually, these quantities explain approximately 15% of the variation in site-wise dN/dS. In combination, solvent accessibility and proximity explain 32% of the variation in dN/dS; incorporating IEDB epitope sites into the model adds only an additional 2 percentage points. Thus, while solvent accessibility and proximity perform largely as independent predictors of evolutionary variation, they each overlap with the epitope-sites predictor. Furthermore, we find that the historical H3 epitope sites, which date back to the 1980s and 1990s, only partially overlap with the experimental sites from the IEDB, and display similar overlap in predictive power when combined with solvent accessibility and proximity. We also find that sites with dN/dS > 1, i.e., the sites most likely driving seasonal immune escape, are not correctly predicted by either historical or IEDB epitope sites, but only by proximity to the receptor-binding region. In summary, a simple geometric model of HA evolution outperforms a model based on epitope sites. These results suggest that either the available epitope sites do not accurately represent the true influenza antigenic sites or that host immune bias may be less important for influenza evolution than commonly thought. The influenza virus is one of the most rapidly evolving human viruses. Every year, it accumulates mutations that allow it to evade the host immune response of previously infected individuals. Which sites in the virus’ genome allow this immune escape and the manner of escape is not entirely understood, but conventional wisdom states that specific “immune epitope sites” in the protein hemagglutinin are preferentially attacked by host antibodies and that these sites mutate to directly avoid host recognition; as a result, these sites are commonly targeted by vaccine development efforts. Here, we combine influenza hemagglutinin sequence data, protein structural information, IEDB immune epitope data, and historical epitopes to demonstrate that neither the historical epitope groups nor epitopes based on IEDB data are crucial for predicting the rate of influenza evolution. Instead, we find that a simple geometrical model works best: sites that are closest to the location where the virus binds the human receptor and are exposed to solvent are the primary drivers of hemagglutinin evolution. There are two possible explanations for this result. First, the existing historical and IEDB epitope sites may not be the real antigenic sites in hemagglutinin. Second, alternatively, hemagglutinin antigenicity may not be the primary driver of influenza evolution.
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DOI:
10.1084/jem.20130212
发表时间:
2013-07-29
期刊:
The Journal of experimental medicine
影响因子:
--
作者:
Li Y;Myers JL;Bostick DL;Sullivan CB;Madara J;Linderman SL;Liu Q;Carter DM;Wrammert J;Esposito S;Principi N;Plotkin JB;Ross TM;Ahmed R;Wilson PC;Hensley SE
通讯作者:
Hensley SE
影响因子:
56.9
作者:
Kim, Philip M.;Lu, Long J.;Gerstein, Mark B.
通讯作者:
Gerstein, Mark B.
影响因子:
10.7
作者:
Bhatt, Samir;Holmes, Edward C.;Pybus, Oliver G.
通讯作者:
Pybus, Oliver G.
影响因子:
10.7
作者:
Katoh K;Standley DM
通讯作者:
Standley DM
影响因子:
5.6
作者:
Lichtarge, O;Bourne, HR;Cohen, FE
通讯作者:
Cohen, FE