Integrated energy-water-land nexus planning to guide national policy: an example from Uruguay

Integrated energy-water-land nexus planning to guide national policy: an example from Uruguay
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指导国家政策的综合能源-水-土地关系规划:乌拉圭的例子

DOI:
10.1088/1748-9326/ab9389
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发表时间:
2020
影响因子:
6.7
通讯作者:
Miralles-Wilhelm, Fernando
Miralles-Wilhelm, Fernando
中科院分区:
环境科学与生态学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Khan, Zarrar;Wild, Thomas B.;Silva Carrazzone, Maria Eugenia;Gaudioso, Rossana;Mascari, María Pía;Bianchi, Fabiana;Weinstein, Federico;Pérez, Federico;Pérez, William;Miralles-Wilhelm, Fernando

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尽管对多部门规划的关联性方法的好处达成了广泛共识,但在政府和其他决策机构中实际实施的情况仍然很少。本研究以乌拉圭为例,提出了一种进行能源-水-土地一体化规划的方法。这项由利益相关者驱动的研究重点是评估旨在加强乌拉圭三项关键出口(牛肉、大豆和大米)的实际计划政策的EWL联系影响,这三项出口占乌拉圭国家出口总收入的40%以上。研究中分析了五种情景:一种参考情景、一种气候影响情景和三种政策情景。这三种政策情景包括在减少排放的同时增加牛肉生产强度、增加灌溉大豆产量和提高水稻产量等措施。这项研究利用一套综合建模工具对乌拉圭规划的政策进行了第一次由利益攸关方驱动的多部门综合评估,从而补充了乌拉圭以前针对具体部门的规划工作。这项研究的主要见解是:与参考情景相比,提高牛肉产量可能导致农田扩张(+30%),并导致用水需求大幅间接增加(+20%);提高稻米产量可能导致总排放量增加(+3%),这可能部分抵消其他政策的减排;在所研究的政策中,扩大灌溉大豆可能对EWL影响最小;与人类活动相比,气候驱动的变化对EWL系统的影响可能显著较小。这一分析得出的概括性见解很容易适用于面临类似多部门规划挑战的其他国家。特别是,这项研究的结果强化了这样一个事实,即政策往往具有多部门的后果,因此政策可能会相互影响彼此的效力。因此,政策的设计和执行可以得益于跨部门和决策机构的协调。
Despite broad consensus on the benefits of a nexus approach to multi-sector planning, actual implementation in government and other decision-making institutions is still rare. This study presents an approach to conducting integrated energy-water-land (EWL) planning, using Uruguay as an example. This stakeholder-driven study focuses on assessing the EWL nexus implications of actual planned policies aimed at strengthening three of Uruguay's key exports (beef, soy, and rice), which account for more than 40% of total national export revenue. Five scenarios are analyzed in the study: a reference scenario, a climate impacts scenario, and three policy scenarios. The three policy scenarios include measures such as increasing the intensity of beef production while simultaneously decreasing emissions, increasing irrigated soybean production, and improving rice yields. This study supplements previous sector-specific planning efforts in Uruguay by conducting the first stakeholder-driven integrated multi-sector assessment of planned policies in Uruguay using a suite of integrated modeling tools. Key insights from the study are: as compared to a reference scenario, improving beef productivity could lead to cropland expansion (+ 30%) and significant indirect increases in water requirements (+ 20%); improving rice yields could lead to increases in total emissions (+ 3%), which may partially offset emissions reductions from other policies; expanding irrigated soy could have the least EWL impacts amongst the policies studied; and climate-driven changes could have significantly less impact on EWL systems as compared to human actions. The generalizable insights derived from this analysis are readily applicable to other countries facing similar multi-sector planning challenges. In particular, the study's results reinforce the fact that policies often have multi-sector consequences, and thus policies can impact one another's efficacy. Thus, policy design and implementation can benefit from coordination across sectors and decision-making institutions.
水-能源-土地-粮食(WELF)关系中隐藏的漏洞
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-71234-5_4
发表时间: 2018
期刊: The Science of the total environment
影响因子: --
作者:
P. Gober
通讯作者: P. Gober
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DOI: 10.1080/02513625.2018.1454693
发表时间: 2018
期刊: disP - The Planning Review
影响因子: --
作者:
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DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2019.10.006
发表时间: 2019-10
期刊: One Earth
影响因子: 16.2
作者:
Y. Wada;A. Vinca;S. Parkinson;B. Willaarts;P. Magnuszewski;Junko Mochizuki;B. Mayor;Yaoping Wang;P. Burek;E. Byers;K. Riahi;V. Krey;S. Langan;M. V. Dijk;D. Grey;A. Hillers;R. Novák;A. Mukherjee;A. Bhattacharya;S. Bhardwaj;S. Romshoo;S. Thambi;Abubakr Muhammad;Ansir Ilyas;Asif Khan;B. Lashari;R. Mahar;R. Ghulam;A. Siddiqi;J. Wescoat;Nithiyanandam Yogeswara;A. Ashraf;B. S. Sidhu;Jiang Tong
通讯作者: Y. Wada;A. Vinca;S. Parkinson;B. Willaarts;P. Magnuszewski;Junko Mochizuki;B. Mayor;Yaoping Wang;P. Burek;E. Byers;K. Riahi;V. Krey;S. Langan;M. V. Dijk;D. Grey;A. Hillers;R. Novák;A. Mukherjee;A. Bhattacharya;S. Bhardwaj;S. Romshoo;S. Thambi;Abubakr Muhammad;Ansir Ilyas;Asif Khan;B. Lashari;R. Mahar;R. Ghulam;A. Siddiqi;J. Wescoat;Nithiyanandam Yogeswara;A. Ashraf;B. S. Sidhu;Jiang Tong
DOI: 10.3390/w8020059
发表时间: 2016-02-01
期刊: WATER
影响因子: 3.4
作者:
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通讯作者: Brethaut, Christian
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0215013
发表时间: 2019-04-16
期刊: PLOS ONE
影响因子: 3.7
作者:
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通讯作者: McJeon, Haewon C.