Research on Uncertainty

Research on Uncertainty
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不确定性研究

DOI:
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发表时间:
2018
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
S. Kazak
S. Kazak
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
D. Pratt;S. Kazak

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我们讨论关于不确定性教学和学习的研究,特别强调可能由概率表示的可量化方面。我们通过将研究(尤其是过去 10 年的研究)与之前的研究相结合来认可该领域的早期评论。我们特别关注三个问题,这些问题已经变得越来越重要:(1)先前关于启发式和偏差的工作的重新调整,(2)概念和经验上对不确定性的参与,以及(3)采用概率建模视角。教师在以各种关键方式塑造学习环境中的作用成为一个重要发现。在结论部分,我们指出了有希望的研究方向,包括需要在新领域进行更多探索性研究,例如建模的作用和精心设计的实验来检验从更成熟的研究中显而易见的假设。
We discuss research on the teaching and learning of uncertainty, with a particular emphasis on quantifiable aspects as might be represented by probability. We acknowledge earlier reviews of the field by integrating research, especially from the last 10 years, with previous studies. In particular, we focus on three issues, which have become increasingly significant: (1) the realignment of previous work on heuristics and biases, (2) conceptual and experiential engagement with uncertainty and (3) adopting a modelling perspective on probability. The role of the teacher in shaping the learning environment in various critical ways emerges as a key finding. In the concluding section, we indicate promising directions for research, including the need for more exploratory research in new areas such as the role of modelling and carefully designed experiments to test hypotheses that are apparent from more established studies.
DOI: 10.1037/0033-295x.103.3.582
发表时间: 1996-07-01
影响因子: 5.4
作者:
Kahneman, D;Tversky, A
通讯作者: Tversky, A