Can Top-of-Atmosphere Radiation Measurements Constrain Climate Predictions? Part II: Climate Sensitivity
Can Top-of-Atmosphere Radiation Measurements Constrain Climate Predictions? Part II: Climate Sensitivity
复制标题
大气层顶部辐射测量可以限制气候预测吗？
DOI：
10.1175/jcli-d-12-00596.1
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发表时间：
2013
影响因子：
4.9
通讯作者：
C. Cartis
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
S. Tett;D. Rowlands;M. Mineter;C. Cartis
对Hadley中心大气模式第3版（HadAM3）的大量扰动物理模拟结果与云和地球辐射能量系统（CERES）对长波辐射（OLR）和反射短波辐射（RSR）的估计值以及早期地球辐射收支实验（埃尔贝）的OLR和RSR估计值进行了比较。模型配置是从几个独立的优化实验，其中四个参数进行了调整。模型观测的不确定性是通过将卫星测量、观测辐射不平衡、太阳总辐照度、辐射强迫、自然气溶胶、内部气候变率和海面温度所产生的不确定性与不变参数所产生的不确定性相结合来估算的。使用一个模拟器，从14 001“板”模式评估进行了使用climateprediction.net合奏，气候敏感性为每一个配置进行了估计。结合不同的前亲…
AbstractA large number of perturbed-physics simulations of version 3 of the Hadley Centre Atmosphere Model (HadAM3) were compared with the Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) estimates of outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) and reflected shortwave radiation (RSR) as well as OLR and RSR from the earlier Earth Radiation Budget Experiment (ERBE) estimates. The model configurations were produced from several independent optimization experiments in which four parameters were adjusted. Model–observation uncertainty was estimated by combining uncertainty arising from satellite measurements, observational radiation imbalance, total solar irradiance, radiative forcing, natural aerosol, internal climate variability, and sea surface temperature and that arising from parameters that were not varied. Using an emulator built from 14 001 “slab” model evaluations carried out using the climateprediction.net ensemble, the climate sensitivity for each configuration was estimated. Combining different prior pro...
影响因子：
6.3
作者：
Carslaw, K. S.;Boucher, O.;Kulmala, M.
通讯作者：
Kulmala, M.
影响因子：
18.3
作者：
Rowlands, Daniel J.;Frame, David J.;Allen, Myles R.
通讯作者：
Allen, Myles R.